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W. Matt Jolly, PhD

Research Ecologist

Rocky Mountain Research Station

0000-0002-0457-6563

william.jolly@usda.gov

Email

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Treesearch Publications

Kostas Kalabokidis, Olga Roussou, Christos Vasilakos, Palaiologos Palaiologou, Dimitrios Zianis, Katerina Trepekli, Pau Brunet-Navarro, José Ramón González-Olabarria, José G. Borges, Susete Marques, Dagm F. Abate, W. Matt Jolly, Alan Ager. 2026. Can Greece solve its wildfire problem?
Ella M. Keefer, W. Matt Jolly, Elliott T. Conrad, Tegan P. Brown, Samuel C. Hillman. 2026. Modeling foliage density and leaf mass area dynamics in Intermountain Western USA conifers
Tegan P. Brown, W. Matt Jolly, Elliott T. Conrad, Zachary Cope, Samuel C. Hillman. 2025. Combining ecophysiology and combustion traits: A pyro-ecophysiological approach to live fuel moisture prediction in common shrubs
Kerryn Little, Rayanne Vitali, Claire M. Belcher, Nicholas Kettridge, Adam F. A. Pellegrini, Adriana E. S. Ford, Alistair M. S. Smith, Andy Elliott, Apostolos Voulgarakis, Cathelijne R. Stoof, Crystal A. Kolden, Dylan W. Schwilk, Eric B. Kennedy, Fiona E. Newman Thacker, Gail R. Millin-Chalabi, Gareth D. Clay, James I Morison, Jessica L. McCarty, Katy Ivison, Kevin Tansey, Kimberley J. Simpson, Matthew W. Jones, Michelle C. Mack, Peter Z. Fule, Rob Gazzard, Sandy P. Harrison, Stacey New, Susan E. Page, Tilly E. Hall, Tim Brown, W. Matt Jolly, Stefan Doerr. 2025. Priority research directions for wildfire science: Views from a historically fire-prone and an emerging fire-prone country
W. Matt Jolly, Elliott Conrad, Tegan P. Brown, Samuel C. Hillman. 2025. Combining ecophysiology and combustion traits to predict conifer live fuel moisture content: A pyro‑ecophysiological approach
Marta Yebra, Gianluca Scortechini, Karine Adeline, Nursema Aktepe, Turkia Almoustafa, Avi Bar-Massada, María Eugenia Beget, Matthias Boer, Ross Bradstock, Tegan Brown, Francesc Xavier Castro, Rui Chen, Emilio Chuvieco, Mark Danson, Cihan Unal Degirmenci, Ruth Delgado-Davila, Philip Dennison, Carlos Di Bella, Oriol Domenech, Jean-Baptiste Feret, Greg Forsyth, Eva Gabriel, Zisis Gagkas, Fatma Gharbi, Elena Granda, Anne Griebel, Binbin He, W. Matt Jolly. 2024. Globe-LFMC 2.0, an enhanced and updated dataset for live fuel moisture content research
W. Matt Jolly, Patrick Freeborn, Larry S. Bradshaw, Jon Wallace, Stuart Brittain. 2024. Modernizing the US National Fire Danger Rating System (version 4): Simplified fuel models and improved live and dead fuel moisture calculations
Elliott Conrad, W. Matt Jolly, Tegan P. Brown, Samuel C. Hillman. 2024. Branching out: Species‑specific canopy architecture limits live crown fuel consumption in Intermountain West USA conifers
Harry Podschwit, W. Matt Jolly, Ernesto Alvarado, Andrea Markos, Satyam Verma, Sebastian Barreto-Rivera, Catherine Tobon-Cruz, Blanca Ponce-Vigo. 2023. Estimating the effects of meteorology and land cover on fire growth in Peru using a novel difference equation model
Alexandra K. Jonko, Rodman R. Linn, Ilkay Altintas, Adam L. Atchley, L. Turin Dickman, Andreas Bar, Adam D. Collins, Jean-Luc Dupuy, Michael R. Gallagher, J. Kevin Hiers, Chad M. Hoffman, Sharon M. Hood, Matthew D. Hurteau, W. Matt Jolly, Alexander Josephson, E. Louise Loudermilk, Wu Ma, Sean T. Michaletz, Rachael H. Nolan, Joseph J. O’Brien, Russell A. Parsons, Raquel Partelli-Feltrin, Francois Pimont, Vıctor Resco de Dios, Joseph Restaino, Zachary J. Robbins, Karla A. Sartor, Emily Schultz-Fellenz, Shawn P. Serbin, Sanna Sevanto, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Carolyn H. Sieg, Nicholas Skowronski, David R. Weise, Molly Wright, Chonggang Xu, Marta Yebra, Nicolas Younes. 2023. Integrating plant physiology into simulation of fire behavior and effects
Harry Podschwit, W. Matt Jolly, Ernesto Alvarado, Satyam Verma, Blanca Ponce, Andrea Markos, Vannia Aliaga‑Nestares, Diego Rodriguez‑Zimmermann. 2022. Reliability of cross‑regional applications of global fire danger models: a Peruvian case study
Tegan P. Brown, Zachary H. Hoylman, Elliott Conrad, Zachary Holden, Kelsey Jencso, W. Matt Jolly. 2022. Decoupling between soil moisture and biomass drives seasonal variations in live fuel moisture across co-occurring plant functional types
Adrian Jimenez-Ruano, W. Matt Jolly, Patrick Freeborn, Daniel Jose Vega-Nieva, Norma Angelica Monjaras-Vega, Carlos Ivan Briones-Herrera, Marcos Rodrigues. 2022. Spatial predictions of human and natural-caused wildfire likelihood across Montana (USA)
Patrick Freeborn, W. Matt Jolly. 2022. Nighttime fire activity is on the rise in the United States: Posing greater risks to firefighters and communities
Patrick Freeborn, W. Matt Jolly, Mark A. Cochrane, Gareth Roberts. 2022. Large wildfire driven increases in nighttime fire activity observed across CONUS from 2003-2020
Benjamin Poulter, Patrick Freeborn, W. Matt Jolly, J. Morgan Varner. 2021. COVID-19 lockdowns drive decline in active fires in southeastern United States
Claire E. Rapp, Robyn S. Wilson, Eric L. Toman, W. Matt Jolly. 2021. Assessing the role of short-term weather forecasts in fire manager tactical decision-making: A choice experiment
J. Morgan Varner, Sharon M. Hood, Doug P. Aubrey, Kara Yedinak, J. Kevin Hiers, W. Matt Jolly, Timothy M. Shearman, Jennifer K. McDaniel, Joseph J. O'Brien, Eric M. Rowell. 2021. Tree crown injury from wildland fires: Causes, measurement and ecological and physiological consequences
Erin L. Landguth, Zachary A. Holden, Jonathan Graham, Benjamin Stark, Elham Bayat Mokhtari, Emily Kaleczyc, Stacey Anderson, Shawn P. Urbanski, W. Matt Jolly, Erin O. Semmens, Dyer A. Warren, Alan Swanson, Emily Stone, Curtis Noonan. 2020. The delayed effect of wildfire season particulate matter on subsequent influenza season in a mountain west region of the USA
W. Matt Jolly. 2020. The Wildfire SAFE app: Delivering real-time data to improve wildfire management
Carlos Ivan Briones-Herrera, Daniel Jose Vega-Nieva, Norma Angelica Monjaras-Vega, Jaime Briseno-Reyes, Pablito Marcelo Lopez-Serrano, Jose Javier Corral-Rivas, Ernesto Alvarado-Celestino, Stefano Arellano-Perez, Juan Gabriel Alvarez-Gonzalez, Ana Daria Ruiz-Gonzalez, W. Matt Jolly, Sean A. Parks. 2020. Near real-time automated early mapping of the perimeter of large forest fires from the aggregation of VIIRS and MODIS active fires in Mexico
Greg Dillon, Matthew H. Panunto, Brett H. Davis, Penelope Morgan, Donovan S. Birch, W. Matt Jolly. 2020. Development of a Severe Fire Potential map for the contiguous United States
Marta Yebra, Gianluca Scortechini, Abdulbaset Badi, Maria Eugenia Beget, Matthias M. Boer, Ross Bradstock, Emilio Chuvieco, F. Mark Danson, Philip Dennison, Victor Resco de Dios, Carlos M. Di Bella, Greg Forsyth, Philip Frost, Mariano Garcia, Abdelaziz Hamdi, Binbin He, W. Matt Jolly, Tineke Kraaij, M. Pilar Martín, Florent Mouillot, Glenn Newnham, Rachael H. Nolan, Grazia Pellizzaro, Yi Qi, Xingwen Quan, David Riano, Dar Roberts, Momadou Sow, Susan Ustin. 2019. Globe‐LFMC, a global plant water status database for vegetation ecophysiology and wildfire applications
Zachary A. Holden, W. Matt Jolly, Alan Swanson, Dyer A. Warren, Kelsey Jencso, Marco Maneta, Mitchell R. Burgard, Chris Gibson, Zachary Hoylman, Erin L. Landguth. 2019. A topographically resolved wildfire danger and drought monitoring system for the conterminous United States
Wesley Page, Patrick Freeborn, Bret W. Butler, W. Matt Jolly. 2019. A classification of US wildland firefighter entrapments based on coincident fuels, weather, and topography
W. Matt Jolly, Patrick Freeborn, Wesley Page, Bret W. Butler. 2019. Severe Fire Danger Index: A forecastable metric to inform firefighter and community wildfire risk management
Carlos Ivan Briones-Herrera, Daniel Jose Vega-Nieva, Norma Angelica Monjaras-Vega, Favian Flores-Medina, Pablito Marcelo Lopez-Serrano, Jose Javier Corral-Rivas, Artemio Carrillo-Parra, Miguel Angel Pulgarin-Gamiz, Ernesto Alvarado-Celestino, Armando Gonzalez-Caban, Stefano Arellano-Perez, Juan Gabriel Alvarez-Gonzalez, Ana Daría Ruiz-Gonzalez, W. Matt Jolly. 2019. Modeling and mapping forest fire occurrence from aboveground carbon density in Mexico
Wesley Page, Patrick Freeborn, Bret W. Butler, W. Matt Jolly. 2019. A review of US wildland firefighter entrapments: Trends, important environmental factors and research needs
Adrian Jimenez-Ruano, Marcos Rodrigues Mimbrero, W. Matt Jolly, Juan de la Riva Fernandez. 2019. The role of short-term weather conditions in temporal dynamics of fire regime features in mainland Spain
Charlie H. Luce, Zachary Holden, W. Matt Jolly. 2018. Consequences of an endless summer: Untangling the link between summer precipitation and western wildfires
Russell A. Parsons, Francois Pimont, Lucas Wells, Greg M. Cohn, W. Matt Jolly, Francois de Coligny, Eric Rigolot, Jean-Luc Dupuy, William E. Mell, Rodman R. Linn. 2018. Modeling thinning effects on fire behavior with STANDFIRE
Afrah Daham, Dawei Han, W. Matt Jolly, Miguel Rico-Ramirez, Anke Marsh. 2018. Predicting vegetation phenology in response to climate change using bioclimatic indices in Iraq
W. Matt Jolly, Daniel Johnson. 2018. Pyro-ecophysiology: Shifting the paradigm of live wildland fuel research
David M. J. S. Bowman, Lori D. Daniels, Fay H. Johnston, Grant J. Williamson, W. Matt Jolly, Sheryl Magzamen, Ana G. Rappold, Michael Brauer, Sarah B. Henderson. 2018. Can air quality management drive sustainable fuels management at the temperate wildland-urban interface?
Zachary A. Holden, Alan Swanson, Charlie H. Luce, W. Matt Jolly, Marco Maneta, Jared W. Oyler, Dyer A. Warren, Russell A. Parsons, David Affleck. 2018. Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western US forest wildfire activity
Sean A. Parks, Lisa M. Holsinger, Matthew H. Panunto, W. Matt Jolly, Solomon Z. Dobrowski, Greg Dillon. 2018. High-severity fire: Evaluating its key drivers and mapping its probability across western US forests
Scott Goodrick, Timothy J. Brown, W. Matt Jolly. 2017. Weather, fuels, fire behavior, plumes, and smoke - the nexus of fire meteorology
Shelby A. Mason, Peter E. Hamlington, Benjamin D. Hamlington, W. Matt Jolly, Chad M. Hoffman. 2017. Effects of climate oscillations on wildland fire potential in the continental United States
W. Matt Jolly, Patrick Freeborn. 2017. Towards improving wildland firefighter situational awareness through daily fire behaviour risk assessments in the US Northern Rockies and Northern Great Basin
Patrick Freeborn, W. Matt Jolly, Mark A. Cochrane. 2016. Impacts of changing fire weather conditions on reconstructed trends in U.S. wildland fire activity from 1979 to 2014
W. Matt Jolly, John Hintz, Rodman L. Linn, Rachael C. Kropp, Elliot T. Conrad, Russell A. Parsons, Judith Winterkamp. 2016. Seasonal variations in red pine (Pinus resinosa) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana) foliar physio-chemistry and their potential influence on stand-scale wildland fire behavior
Yi Qi, W. Matt Jolly, Philip E. Dennison, Rachael C. Kropp. 2016. Seasonal relationships between foliar moisture content, heat content and biochemistry of lodge pole pine and big sagebrush foliage
Grant J. Williamson, Lynda D. Prior, W. Matt Jolly, Mark A. Cochrane, Brett P. Murphy, David M. J. S. Bowman. 2016. Measurement of inter- and intra-annual variability of landscape fire activity at a continental scale: The Australian case
Haiganoush K. Preisler, Karin Riley, Crystal S. Stonesifer, Dave E. Calkin, W. Matt Jolly. 2016. Near-term probabilistic forecast of significant wildfire events for the Western United States
Paul A. Sopko, Larry S. Bradshaw, W. Matt Jolly. 2016. Spatial products available for identifying areas of likely wildfire ignitions using lightning location data-Wildland Fire Assessment System (WFAS)
Paul A. Werth, Brian Potter, Martin E. Alexander, Craig B. Clements, Miguel G. Cruz, Mark A. Finney, Jason M. Forthofer, Scott Goodrick, Chad Hoffman, W. Matt Jolly, Sara S. McAllister, Roger D. Ottmar, Russell A. Parsons. 2016. Synthesis of knowledge of extreme fire behavior: volume 2 for fire behavior specialists, researchers, and meteorologists
Birgit Peterson, Kurtis J. Nelson, Carl Seielstad, Jason Stoker, W. Matt Jolly, Russell A. Parsons. 2015. Automated integration of lidar into the LANDFIRE product suite
Patrick Freeborn, Mark A. Cochrane, W. Matt Jolly. 2015. Relationships between fire danger and the daily number and daily growth of active incidents burning in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA
Robert E. Keane, W. Matt Jolly, Russell A. Parsons, Karin Riley. 2015. Proceedings of the large wildland fires conference; May 19-23, 2014; Missoula, MT
W. Matt Jolly, Mark A. Cochrane, Patrick Freeborn, Zachary A. Holden, Timothy J. Brown, Grant J. Williamson, David M. J. S. Bowman. 2015. Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013
Yi Qi, Philip E. Dennison, W. Matt Jolly, Rachael C. Kropp, Simon C. Brewer. 2014. Spectroscopic analysis of seasonal changes in live fuel moisture content and leaf dry mass
W. Matt Jolly, Ann M. Hadlow, Kathleen Huguet. 2014. De-coupling seasonal changes in water content and dry matter to predict live conifer foliar moisture content
Russell A. Parsons, W. Matt Jolly, Paul Langowski, Megan S. Matonis, Sue Miller. 2014. Post-epidemic fire risk and behavior [Chapter 3]
Russell A. Parsons, J. Morgan Varner, Bret W. Butler, Kevin C. Ryan, Corey Gucker, W. Matt Jolly. 2012. Do mountain pine beetle outbreaks change the probability of active crown fire in lodgepole pine forests?
William H. Cooke, Georgy V. Mostovoy, Valentine G. Anantharaj, W. Matt Jolly. 2012. Wildfire potential mapping over the state of Mississippi: A land surface modeling approach
W. Matt Jolly, Ann M. Hadlow. 2012. A comparison of two methods for estimating conifer live foliar moisture content
Mark A. Finney, Jack D. Cohen, Sara S. McAllister, W. Matt Jolly. 2012. On the need for a theory of wildland fire spread
Sara S. McAllister, Isaac C. Grenfell, A. Hadlow, W. Matt Jolly, Mark A. Finney, Jack D. Cohen. 2012. Piloted ignition of live forest fuels
W. Matt Jolly, Russell A. Parsons, Ann M. Hadlow, Greg M. Cohn, Sara S. McAllister, John B. Popp, Robert M. Hubbard, Jose Negron. 2012. Relationships between moisture, chemistry, and ignition of Pinus contorta needles during the early stages of mountain pine beetle attack
Zachary A. Holden, W. Matt Jolly. 2011. Modeling topographic influences on fuel moisture and fire danger in complex terrain to improve wildland fire management decision support
Isaac C. Grenfell, Mark A. Finney, W. Matt Jolly. 2010. Simulating spatial and temporally related fire weather
W. Matt Jolly, Sara McAllister, Mark A. Finney, Ann Hadlow. 2010. Time to ignition is influenced by both moisture content and soluble carbohydrates in live Douglas fir and Lodgepole pine needles
R. Stockli, T. Rutishauser, D. Dragoni, J. O'Keefe, P. E. Thornton, W. Matt Jolly, L. Lu, A. S. Denning. 2008. Remote sensing data assimilation for a prognostic phenology model

Data and Tools

University of Montana, Phd, Forestry, 2004
University of Virginia, Bachelor Of Arts, Environmental Sciences with emphasis in Ecology, 2000
Community College of the Air Force, Associates Of Applied Science, Electronic Systems Technologies, 1995

Last updated June 2, 2026

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