Nicholas Povak

Treesearch Publications

• Bryan A. Fuentes, Patricia N. Manley, Nicholas Povak. 2026. Support for forest conservation imperatives: A robust approach for multi-dimensional, spatially explicit resilience assessment
• Patricia N. Manley, Nicholas Povak, Kristen N. Wilson. 2025. TPOR: an integrated socio-ecological framework to inform management toward resilience
• Patricia N. Manley, Liraz Bistritz, Nicholas Povak, Michelle A. Day. 2025. Going slow to go fast: Landscape designs to achieve multiple benefits
• Kira Hefty, Nicholas Povak, Patricia N. Manley, Samuel W. Flake, Katherine Zeller. 2025. Spatiotemporal patterns of diversity and diversity‑stability relationships as a function of compounding disturbances and forest management
• Tucker J. Furniss, Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Brion Salter, Zhuoran Duan, Mark Wigmosta. 2024. Wildfire management decisions outweigh mechanical treatment as the keystone to forest landscape adaptation
• Nicholas Povak, Patricia N. Manley, Kristen N. Wilson. 2024. Quantitative methods for integrating climate adaptation strategies into spatial decision support models
• Nicholas Povak, Patricia N. Manley. 2024. Evaluating climate change impacts on ecosystem resources through the lens of climate analogs
• Kimberley T. Davis, Marcos D. Robles, Kerry B. Kemp, Philip E. Higuera, Teresa Chapman, Kerry L. Metlen, Jamie L. Peeler, Kyle C. Rodman, Travis Woolley, Robert N. Addington, Brian J. Buma, Alina Cansler, Michael J. Case, Brandon M. Collins, Jonathan D. Coop, Solomon Z. Dobrowski, Nathan S. Gill, Collin Haffey, Lucas B. Harris, Brian J. Harvey, Ryan D. Haugo, Matthew D. Hurteau, Dominik Kulakowski, Caitlin E. Littlefield, Lisa A. McCauley, Nicholas Povak, Kristen L. Shive, Edward Smith, Jens Stevens, Camille S. Stevens-Rumann, Alan H. Taylor, Alan J. Tepley, Derek J. N. Young, Robert A. Andrus, Michael A. Battaglia, Julia K. Berkey, Sebastian Busby, Amanda R. Carlson, Marin E. Chambers, Erich Dodson, Daniel C. Donato, William M. Downing, Paula J. Fornwalt, Joshua S. Halofsky, Ashley Hoffman, Andrés Holz, Jose Iniguez, Meg A. Krawchuk, Mark R. Kreider, Andrew J. Larson, Garrett W. Meigs, John Paul Roccaforte, Monica T. Rother, Hugh Safford, Michael Schaedel, Jason S. Sibold, Megan P. Singleton, Monica G. Turner, Alexandra K. Urza, Kyra D. Clark-Wolf, Larissa Yocom, Joseph B. Fontaine, John L. Campbell. 2023. Reduced fire severity offers near-term buffer to climate-driven declines in conifer resilience across the western United States
• Tucker J. Furniss, Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Brion Salter, Zhuoran Duan, Mark Wigmosta. 2023. Informing climate adaptation strategies using ecological simulation models and spatial decision support tools
• Katherine Zeller, Nicholas Povak, Patricia N. Manley, Samuel W. Flake, Kira Hefty. 2023. Managing for biodiversity: The effects of climate, management and natural disturbance on wildlife species richness
• Patricia N. Manley, Nicholas Povak, Kristen N. Wilson, Mary Lou Fairweather, Vivian Griffey, Linda L. Long. 2023. Blueprint for resilience: the Tahoe-Central Sierra Initiative
• Keith M. Reynolds, Paul F. Hessburg, Milena Lakicevic, Nicholas Povak, Brion Salter, Timothy J. Sullivan, Todd C. McDonnell, Bernard J. Cosby, William Jackson. 2023. Assessing impacts of sulfur deposition on aquatic ecosystems: A decision support system for the Southern Appalachians
• Nicholas Povak, Tucker J. Furniss, Paul F. Hessburg, Brion Salter, Mark Wigmosta, Zhuoran Duan, Miles LeFevre. 2022. Evaluating basin-scale forest adaptation scenarios: Wildfire, streamflow, biomass, and economic recovery synergies and trade-offs.
• C. Alina Cansler, Van R. Kane, Paul F. Hessburg, Jonathan T. Kane, Sean M.A. Jeronimo, James A. Lutz, Nicholas Povak, Derek J. Churchill, Andrew J. Larson. 2022. Previous wildfires and management treatments moderate subsequent fire severity
• Tucker J. Furniss, Paul F. Hessburg, Nicholas Povak, Brion Salter, Mark S. Wigmosta. 2022. Predicting future patterns, processes, and their interactions: Benchmark calibration and validation procedures for forest landscape models
• Adrián Pascual, Christian P. Giardina, Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Gregory P. Asner. 2022. Integrating ecosystem services modeling and efficiencies in decision-support models conceptualization for watershed management
• Adrián Pascual, Christian P. Giardina, Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Chris Heider, Ed Salminen, Gregory P. Asner. 2022. Optimizing invasive species management using mathematical programming to support stewardship of water and carbon-based ecosystem services
• Paul F. Hessburg, Susan J. Prichard, R. Keala Hagmann, Nicholas Povak, Frank K. Lake. 2021. Wildfire and climate change adaptation of western North American forests: a case for intentional management
• R. K. Hagmann, Paul F. Hessburg, S. J. Prichard, Nicholas Povak, P. M. Brown, P. Z. Fulé, Robert E. Keane, Eric E. Knapp, J. M. Lydersen, K. L. Metlen, Matthew Reilly, A. J. Sánchez Meador, S. L. Stephens, Jens Stevens, A. H. Taylor, L. L. Yocom, Michael A. Battaglia, D. J. Churchill, L. D. Daniels, D. A. Falk, P. Henson, J. D. Johnston, M. A. Krawchuk, C. R. Levine, G. W. Meigs, A. G. Merschel, Malcolm P. North, Hugh Safford, T. W. Swetnam, A. E. M. Waltz. 2021. Evidence for widespread changes in the structure, composition, and fire regimes of western North American forests
• Susan J. Prichard, Paul F. Hessburg, R. Keala Hagmann, Nicholas Povak, Solomon Z. Dobrowski, Matthew D. Hurteau, Van R. Kane, Robert E. Keane, Leda N. Kobziar, Crystal A. Kolden, Malcolm P. North, Sean A. Parks, Hugh D. Safford, Jens Stevens, Larissa L. Yocom, Derek J. Churchill, Robert W. Gray, David W. Huffman, Frank K. Lake, Pratima Khatri‐Chhetri. 2021. Adapting western North American forests to climate change and wildfires: 10 common questions
• Nicholas Povak, Christian P. Giardina, Paul F. Hessburg, Keith M. Reynolds, Brion Salter, Chris Heider, Ed Salminen, Richard A. MacKenzie. 2020. A decision support tool for the conservation of tropical forest and nearshore environments on Babeldaob Island, Palau
• Nicholas Povak, Derek J. Churchill, C. Alina Cansler, Paul F. Hessburg, Van R. Kane, Jonathan T. Kane, James A. Lutz, Andrew J. Larson. 2020. Wildfire severity and postfire salvage harvest effects on long‐term forest regeneration
• Susan J. Prichard, Nicholas Povak, Maureen C. Kennedy, David W. Peterson. 2020. Fuel treatment effectiveness in the context of landform, vegetation, and large, wind‐driven wildfires
• Paul F. Hessburg, Carol L. Miller, Sean A. Parks, Nicholas Povak, Malcolm P. North, Brandon M. Collins, Thomas Spies, Alina Cansler, Michael A. Battaglia, Carl N. Skinner. 2019. Climate, environment, and disturbance history govern resilience of Western North American forests
• Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, R. Brion Salter. 2018. Evidence for scale-dependent topographic controls on wildfire spread
• Jamie Lydersen, Brandon M. Collins, Matthew L. Brooks, John R. Matchett, Kristen L. Shive, Nicholas Povak, Van R. Kane, Douglas F. Smith. 2017. Evidence of fuels management and fire weather influencing fire severity in an extreme fire event
• Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Christian P. Giardina, Keith M. Reynolds, Chris Heider, Ed Salminen, R. Brion Salter, Richard A. MacKenzie. 2017. A watershed decision support tool for managing invasive species on Hawai‘i Island, USA
• Paul F. Hessburg, Thomas Spies, David A. Perry, Carl N. Skinner, Alan H. Taylor, Peter M. Brown, Scott L. Stephens, Andrew J. Larson, Derek J. Churchill, Nicholas Povak, Peter Singleton, Brenda McComb, Bill Zielinski, Brandon M. Collins, R. Brion Salter, John J. Keane, Jerry F. Franklin, Greg Riegel. 2016. Tamm Review: Management of mixed-severity fire regime forests in Oregon, Washington, and Northern California
• Carol L. Miller, Thomas Spies, Malcolm P. North, Nicholas Povak, R. Travis Belote, Peter Singleton, William L. Gaines, Robert E. Keane, Gregory H. Aplet, Scott L. Stephens, Penelope Morgan, Pete Bisson, Ryan D. Haugo, Bruce E. Rieman, Brion Salter, Gordon Reeves, Paul F. Hessburg, Derek J. Churchill, Andrew J. Larson. 2015. Restoring fire-prone Inland Pacific landscapes: seven core principles
• Van R. Kane, C. Alina Cansler, Nicholas Povak, Jonathan T. Kane, Robert McGaughey, James A. Lutz, Derek J. Churchill, Malcolm P. North. 2015. Mixed severity fire effects within the Rim fire: Relative importance of local climate, fire weather, topography, and forest structure
• Natasha Vizcarra, Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Keith M. Reynolds. 2015. Sour streams in Appalachia: mapping nature’s buffer against sulfur deposition
• Todd C. McDonnell, Timothy J. Sullivan, Paul F. Hessburg, Keith M. Reynolds, Nicholas Povak, Bernard J. Cosby, William Jackson, R. Brion Salter. 2014. Steady-state sulfur critical loads and exceedances for protection of aquatic ecosystems in the U.S. southern Appalachian Mountains
• Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Todd C. McDonnell, Keith M. Reynolds, Timothy J. Sullivan, R. Brion Salter, Bernard J. Crosby. 2014. Machine learning and linear regression models to predict catchment-level base cation weathering rates across the southern Appalachian Mountain region, USA
• Nicholas Povak, Paul F. Hessburg, Keith M. Reynolds, Timothy J. Sullivan, Todd C. McDonnell, R. Brion Salter. 2013. Machine learning and hurdle models for improving regional predictions of stream water acid neutralizing capacity
• Paul F. Hessburg, Nicholas Povak, Brion Salter. 2010. Thinning and prescribed fire effects on snag abundance and spatial pattern in an eastern Cascade Range dry forest, Washington, USA
• Richy J. Harrod, Erich Kyle Dodson, Nicholas Povak, David W. Peterson. 2009. Pretreatment variation in overstory and understory vegetation [Chapter 2]
• Richy J. Harrod, David W. Peterson, Nicholas Povak, Erich Kyle Dodson. 2009. Thinning and prescribed fire effects on overstory tree and snag structure in dry coniferous forests of the interior Pacific Northwest
• Paul F. Hessburg, Nicholas Povak, Brion Salter. 2008. Thinning and prescribed fire effects on dwarf mistletoe severity in an eastern Cascade Range dry forest, Washington
• Richy J. Harrod, Nicholas Povak, David W. Peterson. 2007. Comparing the effectiveness of thinning and prescribed fire for modifying structure in dry coniferous forests

• Project
  

  Quantifying fuel connectivity for optimizing fuel treatments (PLD6)

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/srs/projects/fuel-connectivity
  Station

  Southern Research Station
• Project
  

  Decision Support to Improve Ridge-to-Reef Stewardship in an Era of Rapid Global Change

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/projects/hawaii-dst
  Station

  Pacific Southwest Research Station
• Project
  

  Crosscutting Fuels and Multiple Benefits Evaluation and Validation

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/projects/fuels-benefits-evaluation-validation
  Station

  Pacific Southwest Research Station
• Partnership
  

  Tahoe-Central Sierra Initiative (TCSI)

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/partnerships/tcsi
  Station

  Pacific Southwest Research Station
• Project
  

  Fast-tracking Information to Implementation for WCS landscapes: Making climate-informed co-benefit opportunities available to managers through a new module in the open-source, web-based Planscape tool

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/projects/planscape-climate-wcs
  Station

  Pacific Southwest Research Station
• Project
  

  Data science: The Data, Modeling and Applications Support Hub (D*M*A*S*H*)

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/bil-data-science-data-modeling-and-applications-support-hub-dmash
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station

Other Publications

• Report
  

  Blueprint for resilience: Tahoe-Central Sierra Initiative

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/understory/blueprint-resilience-tahoe-central-sierra-initiative
• Report
  

  Framework for Promoting Socio-ecological Resilience across Forested Landscapes in the Sierra Nevada

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/understory/framework-promoting-socio-ecological-resilience-across-forested-landscapes-sierra

Multimedia

• Webinars

  SCIENCE x Modeling Tools for Management

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/products/multimedia/webinars/science-x-modeling-tools-management
• Webinars

  Science x Wildlife: Management Tools

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/products/multimedia/webinars/science-x-wildlife-management-tools
• Webinars

  From data to decisions: Putting Regional Resource Kit data to work using the PROMOTE and Planscape decision tools

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/psw/products/multimedia/webinars/data-decisions-putting-regional-resource-kit-data-work-using
• Webinars

  SCIENCE x Fire: Modeling Risk and Trade-offs

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/products/multimedia/webinars/science-x-fire-modeling-risk-and-trade-offs