Download (PDF 3.25 MB): https://research.fs.usda.gov/download/treesearch/14538.pdf
Abstract
If future recreation consumption and associated intangible values can be predicted, the problem of rapid decision making in recreation-resource management can be reduced, and the problems of implementing those decisions can be anticipated. Management and research responsibilities for meeting recreation demand are discussed, and proved methods for forecasting recreation use and associated qualitative values are presented. The best approach for developing recreation-participation rate equations may be to include a distance factor, recreation-supply variables, socio-economic measurements of users and non-users, and qualitative measures of recreation environments - all in the same model. The effects of technological progress on values and behavior patterns are described; and methods for forecasting relevant technological advances are outlined.
Parent Publication
Citation
Shafer, Elwood L., Jr.; Moeller, George. 1971. Predicting quantitative and qualitative values of recreation participation. In: Larson, E.vH., ed. The Forest Recreation Symposium. State University of New York College of Forestry; 1971 October 12-14: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. 5-22.
