Assessing the value of increased model resolution in forecasting fire danger

Jeanne Hoadley; Miriam Rorig; Ken Westrick; Larry S. Bradshaw; Sue Ferguson; Scott Goodrick; Paul Werth

Treesearch

Assessing the value of increased model resolution in forecasting fire danger

Informally Refereed

Authors:

Jeanne Hoadley, Miriam Rorig, Ken Westrick, Larry S. Bradshaw, Sue Ferguson, Scott Goodrick, Paul Werth

Year:

2003

Type:

Scientific Journal

Station:

Southern Research Station

Source:

In: Second International Wildland Fire Ecology and Fire Management Congress And Fifth Symposium On Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 16-20, Orlando, Florida, p. 1-5

Download (PDF 504 KB)

Download (PDF 504 KB): https://research.fs.usda.gov/download/treesearch/20099.pdf

Abstract

The fire season of 2000 was used as a case study to assess the value of increasing mesoscale model resolution for fire weather and fire danger forecasting. With a domain centered on Western Montana and Northern Idaho, MM5 simulations were run at 36, 12, and 4-km resolutions for a 30 day period at the height of the fire season. Verification analyses for meteorological parameters that influence fire danger rating were done for observation sites within the model 4km domain.

Keywords

fire weather, fire danger forecasting, model resolution

Citation

Hoadley, Jeanne; Rorig, Miriam; Westrick, Ken; Bradshaw, Larry; Ferguson, Sue; Goodrick, Scott; Werth, Paul. 2003. Assessing the value of increased model resolution in forecasting fire danger. In: Second International Wildland Fire Ecology and Fire Management Congress And Fifth Symposium On Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 16-20, Orlando, Florida, p. 1-5