Modeling potential future individual tree-species distributions in the eastern United States under a climate change scenario: a case study with Pinus virginiana

Louis Iverson; Anantha M. Prasad; Mark W. Schwartz; Mark W. Schwartz

doi:10.1016/s0304-3800(98)00200-2

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Modeling potential future individual tree-species distributions in the eastern United States under a climate change scenario: a case study with Pinus virginiana

Informally Refereed

Authors:

Louis Iverson, Anantha M. Prasad, Mark W. Schwartz, Mark W. Schwartz

Year:

1999

Type:

Miscellaneous Publication

Station:

Northern Research Station

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3800(98)00200-2

Source:

Ecological Modelling. 115: 77-93.

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Download (PDF 1.76 MB): https://research.fs.usda.gov/download/treesearch/22436.pdf

Abstract

We are using a deterministic regression tree analysis model (DISTRIB) and a stochastic migration model (SHIFT) to examine potential distributions of ~66 individual species of eastern US trees under a 2 x CO2 climate change scenario. This process is demonstrated for Virginia pine (Pinus virginiana).

Keywords

climate change, GIS, Landscape ecology, species distribution, migration, regression tree analysis, FIA, model

Citation

Iverson, Louis R.; Prasad, Anantha; Schwartz, Mark W. 1999. Modeling potential future individual tree-species distributions in the eastern United States under a climate change scenario: a case study with Pinus virginiana. Ecological Modelling. 115: 77-93.