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Abstract
The demand for strategic planning tools that account for climate and human influences on wildfire hazard is growing. In response, the University of Arizona, through an EPA STAR Grant has undertaken interdisciplinary research to characterize the human and climate dimensions of wildfire. The resulting Fire-Climate-Society (FCS-1) prototype model developed for Sky Islands in southeastern Arizona (Catalina/Rincons, Huachucas, Chiricahuas) addresses both the biophysical elements of wildfire probability and the human elements of values-at-risk. An online, spatially explicit application will allow users to choose climate-based scenarios, weight model components through a multi-criteria decision process, and then create spatially explicit maps for dynamic strategic planning.
Parent Publication
Keywords
Cenchrus ciliarus,
Bromus rubens,
Bromus tectorum,
Eragrostis lehmanninana,
Pennisetum setaceum,
planning,
wildfires,
climate,
human activity,
models,
internet,
Sky Islands,
Arizona
Citation
Orr, Barron J.; Grunberg, Wolfgang; Cockerham, Amanda B.; Thwaits, Anne Y.; Severson, Heather S.; Lerman, Noah M. D.; Miller, Rachel M.; Haseltine, Michael; Morehouse, Barbara J.; Overpeck, Jonathan T.; Yool, Stephen R.; Swetnam, Thomas W.; Christopherson, Gary L. 2005. An on-line interface for integrated modeling of wildlife, climate, and society for strategic planning for the Sky Islands. In: Gottfried, Gerald J.; Gebow, Brooke S.; Eskew, Lane G.; Edminster, Carleton B., comps. Connecting mountain islands and desert seas: biodiversity and management of the Madrean Archipelago II. Proc. RMRS-P-36. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 469-473
