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Abstract
Traffic load changes as a result of expansion of recreation facilities may be predicted through computations based on estimates of (a) drawing power of the recreation attracttions, overnight accommodations, and in- or out-terminals; (b) probable types of travel; (c) probable routes of travel; and (d) total number of cars in the recreation system. Once the basic model has been established, development alternatives may be simulated to provide percent change estimates of probable traffic load effects on each link of the road system. Illustrative estimates are made for six alternatives for the Harney Peak area of South Dakota.
Citation
Elsner, Gary H.; Oliveira, Ronald A. 1973. Predicting traffic load impact of alternative recreation developments. Res. Paper PSW-RP-096. Berkeley, CA: Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Exp. Stn., Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture; 12 p