Test of wind predictions for peak fire-danger stations in Oregon and Washington.

Abstract

Relative accuracy of several wind-speed forecasting methods was tested during the forest fire seasons of 1950 and 1951. For the study, three fire-weather forecast centers of the U. S. Weather Bureau prepared individual station forecasts for 11 peak stations within the national. forests of Oregon and Washington. These spot forecasts were considered the best forecasts available. They were compared with routine area forecasts, with forecasting aids suggested for use by forest-protection agencies, and with some routine statistical forecasts often used in comparing accuracy of forecasting methods. Forecasts of 4:30 p.m. wind speed were prepared by each method morning and evening.

Citation

Cramer, Owen P. 1957. Test of wind predictions for peak fire-danger stations in Oregon and Washington. USDA Forest Service PNW Old Series Research Paper No. 22: 1-39