Timber products output and timber harvests in Alaska: projections for 1989-2010.

Abstract

Projections of Alaska timber products output and timber harvest by owner were developed by using a detailed, trend-based analysis. Historical data for 1965-88 were the basis for projections for 1989-2010. Projections of timber products output for each major product (export logs, sawn wood, and market pulp) were used to compute the derived demand for timber. The assumptions these projections depend on include the level of harvest by Alaska Native corporations, sawn-wood consumption in Japan, and exports of market pulp. Potential harvest from Alaska National Forests (primarily the Tongass National Forest) Is calculated as the volume of timber that balances the derived demand, given harvest by other owners. Total harvest in Alaska is expected to average 660 million board feet per year during the early 1990s and 545 million board feet per year between 1995 and 2005. Projected) demand is such that. harvest from Alaska National Forests can remain roughly constant at 400 million board feet per year from 1990 to 2010. The sensitivity of these projections to changes in major assumptions is examined.

Citation

Brooks, David J.; Haynes, Richard W. 1990. Timber products output and timber harvests in Alaska: projections for 1989-2010. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-261. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 54 p