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Abstract
While there is a great deal of scientific uncertainty about the nature and control of
Phytophthora ramorum, there is growing concern that its economic costs will be significant. Indeed the repercussions at the nursery level of a positive test for the presence of
P. ramorum may include severely impacted current and future cash flows. Given this possibility, nurseries that are susceptible to
P. ramorum infestation may reassess their production strategy. Firms may choose to increase expenditures to prevent
P. ramorum infestation, or they may choose to reduce production of
P. ramorum host plants, thus limiting exposure to infestation risk. Optimal production strategies may reduce the expected cost of
P. ramorum by affecting either the probability of infestation or the magnitude of the loss incurred in the event that infestation occurs.
Parent Publication
Citation
Gilless, J.K.; Tack, J.; Zwane, A. Peterson. 2006. Who pays for sudden oak death? An econometric investigation of the impact of an emerging pathogen on California nurseries. In: Frankel, Susan J.; Shea, Patrick J.; and Haverty, Michael I., tech. coords. Proceedings of the sudden oak death second science symposium: the state of our knowledge. Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-196. Albany, CA: Pacific Southwest Research Station, Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture: 465-467
