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Abstract
For the next 10 years, few changes will be made to the fire-danger rating system. During that time, the focus will be on the automation of weather observing systems and the streamlining of the computation and display of ratings. The time horizon for projecting fire danger will be pushed to 30 days by the late 1990's. A close alignment of the fire-danger rating system with the fire-behavior and fire-planning systems will occur with there lease of the second-generation fire model in the late 1990's. Improved utilization of all of these systems will be delayed until more structured approaches to decision making are adopted by management. By 2007, expert systems utilizing real-time direct and remotely sensed weather and fuel moisture data will be on line.
Parent Publication
Citation
Deeming, John E. 1987. Fire Danger Rating: The next 20 Years. In: Davis, James B.; Martin, Robert E., technical coordinators. 1987. Proceedings of the Symposium on Wildland Fire 2000, April 27-30, 1987, South Lake Tahoe, California. Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-101. Berkeley, CA: Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment Station, Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture; p. 66-72
