Managing risk with chance-constrained programming

Michael M. Bevers; Brian Kent

Treesearch

Managing risk with chance-constrained programming

Informally Refereed

Authors:

Michael M. Bevers, Brian Kent

Year:

2007

Type:

Miscellaneous Publication

Station:

Rocky Mountain Research Station

Source:

In: Martin, W.E.; Raish, C.; Kent, B., eds. Wildfire risk: human perceptions and management implications. Washington, DC: Resources for the Future: 212-225.

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Abstract

Reducing catastrophic fire risk is an important objective of many fuel treatment programs (Kent et al. 2003; Machlis et al. 2002; USDA/USDI 2001a). In practice, risk reductions can be accomplished by lowering the probability of a given loss to forest fires, the amount of probable loss, or both. Forest fire risk objectives are seldom quantified, however, making it difficult to compare alternative management options. Instead, fuel treatment programs are often selected based on expert judgment.

Keywords

catastrophic fire risk, fuel treatment programs

Citation

Bevers, Michael; Kent, Brian. 2007. Managing risk with chance-constrained programming. In: Martin, W.E.; Raish, C.; Kent, B., eds. Wildfire risk: human perceptions and management implications. Washington, DC: Resources for the Future: 212-225.