Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on forests of the United States Pacific Northwest

Gregory Latta; Hailemariam Temesgen; Darius Adams; Tara M. Barrett

doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.003

Treesearch

Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on forests of the United States Pacific Northwest

Formally Refereed

Authors:

Gregory Latta, Hailemariam Temesgen, Darius Adams, Tara M. Barrett

Year:

2010

Type:

Scientific Journal

Station:

Pacific Northwest Research Station

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.003

Source:

Forest Ecology and Management. 259(4): 720-729

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Abstract

As global climate changes over the next century, forest productivity is expected to change as well. Using PRISM climate and productivity data measured on a grid of 3356 plots, we developed a simultaneous autoregressive model to estimate the impacts of climate change on potential productivity of Pacific Northwest forests of the United States. The model, coupled with climate change output from four generalized circulation models, was used to predict the productivity impacts of four different scenarios derived from the fourth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change special report on emissions, representing different future economic and environmental states of the world. For managers and policy-makers. The results suggest the relative magnitude of effects and the potential variability of impacts across a range of climate scenarios.

Keywords

mapping climate change, mean annual increment, simultaneous autoregressive model, site class

Citation

Latta, Gregory; Temesgen, Hailemariam; Adams, Darius; Barrett, Tara. 2010. Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on forests of the United States Pacific Northwest. Forest Ecology and Management. 259(4): 720-729.