Linking global scenarios to national assessments: Experiences from the Resources Planning Act (RPA) Assessment

Linda Langner; Peter J. Ince

Treesearch

Linking global scenarios to national assessments: Experiences from the Resources Planning Act (RPA) Assessment

Informally Refereed

Authors:

Linda Langner, Peter J. Ince

Year:

2012

Type:

Proceedings - Paper

Station:

Northern Research Station

Source:

In: Bengston, David N., comp. 2012. Environmental futures research: experiences, approaches, and opportunities. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-107. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 55-65.

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Abstract

The Resources Planning Act (RPA) Assessment provides a nationally consistent analysis of the status and trends of the Nation's renewable forest resources. A global scenario approach was taken for the 2010 RPA Assessment to provide a shared world view of potential futures. The RPA Assessment scenarios were linked to the global scenarios and climate projections used in the Third and Fourth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessments to recognize the influence of global forces on domestic resource conditions and trends. This paper reviews the challenges encountered, approaches taken to address these challenges, and the lessons learned.

Parent Publication

Environmental futures research: experiences, approaches, and opportunities

Keywords

strategic foresight, scenarios, trends, forecasting, change, environmental scanning

Citation

Langner, Linda L.; Ince, Peter J. 2012. Linking global scenarios to national assessments: Experiences from the Resources Planning Act (RPA) Assessment. In: Bengston, David N., comp. 2012. Environmental futures research: experiences, approaches, and opportunities. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-107. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 55-65.