Aspen succession in the Intermountain West: A deterministic model

Dale L. Bartos; Frederick R. Ward; George S. Innis

doi:10.2737/INT-GTR-153

Treesearch

Aspen succession in the Intermountain West: A deterministic model

Informally Refereed

Authors:

Dale L. Bartos, Frederick R. Ward, George S. Innis

Year:

1983

Type:

General Technical Report

Station:

Rocky Mountain Research Station

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2737/INT-GTR-153

Source:

Gen. Tech. Rep. INT-GTR-153. Ogden, UT: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station. 60 p.

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Abstract

A deterministic model of succession in aspen forests was developed using existing data and intuition. The degree of uncertainty, which was determined by allowing the parameter values to vary at random within limits, was larger than desired. This report presents results of an analysis of model sensitivity to changes in parameter values. These results have indicated areas of needed research. The model responds realistically to various management techniques and could be an aid to resource managers in their decisionmaking process.

Keywords

simulation model, model sensitivity, FORTRAN, Forester diagrams, (fractional) factorial design, Populus tremuloides

Citation

Bartos, Dale L.; Ward, Frederick R.; Innis, George S. 1983. Aspen succession in the Intermountain West: A deterministic model. Gen. Tech. Rep. INT-GTR-153. Ogden, UT: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station. 60 p.