Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States

Donald McKenzie; John T. Abatzoglou; E. Natasha Stavros; Narasimhan K. Larkin

doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1229-6

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Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States

Formally Refereed

Authors:

Donald McKenzie, John T. Abatzoglou, E. Natasha Stavros, Narasimhan K. Larkin

Year:

2014

Type:

Scientific Journal

Station:

Pacific Northwest Research Station

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1229-6

Source:

Climatic Change. 126(3-4): 455-468. 14 p.

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Abstract

Seasonal changes in the climatic potential for very large wildfires (VLWF >= 50,000 ac~20,234 ha) across the western contiguous United States are projected over the 21st century using generalized linear models and downscaled climate projections for two representative concentration pathways (RCPs). Significant (p

Keywords

wildfires, western United States, projections, climate change

Citation

Stavros, E. Natasha; Abatzoglou, John T.; McKenzie, Donald; Larkin, Narasimhan K. 2014. Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States. Climatic Change. 126(3-4): 455-468.