Wetland extent and plant community composition vulnerability to climate change
| Authors: | Michael Nassry, Denice H. Wardrop, Anna T. Hamilton, Christopher J. Duffy, Jordan M. West |
| Year: | 2016 |
| Type: | General Technical Report |
| Station: | Southern Research Station |
| Source: | In: Stringer, Christina E.; Krauss, Ken W.; Latimer, James S., eds. 2016. Headwaters to estuaries: advances in watershed science and management -Proceedings of the Fifth Interagency Conference on Research in the Watersheds. March 2-5, 2015, North Charleston, South Carolina. e-General Technical Report SRS-211. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Southern Research Station. 302 p. |
Abstract
The potential impact of climate change on wetland-provided ecosystem services has been largely unspecified because of the difficulty in predicting changing hydrologic conditions, which are a major driver of structure and function in these ecosystems. The Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM), constructed and calibrated using nationally available data sets (e.g., soils, topography, national wetlands inventory (NWI) wetlands, USGS stream gages), was used to generate groundwater depth conditions for multiple hydrogeomorphic (HGM) wetland types (depression, slope, riverine), across a range of ecoregions in Pennsylvania, under historical and future climate scenarios.