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Nonparametric Bayesian predictive distributions for future order statistics

Informally Refereed
Download (PDF 108 KB): https://research.fs.usda.gov/download/treesearch/5799.pdf

Abstract

We derive the predictive distribution for a specified order statistic, determined from a future random sample, under a Dirichlet process prior. Two variants of the approach are treated and some limiting cases studied. A practical application to monitoring the strength of lumber is discussed including choices of prior expectation and comparisons made to a Bayesian parametric approach.

Citation

Johnson, Richard A.; Evans, James W.; Green, David W. 1999. Nonparametric Bayesian predictive distributions for future order statistics. Statistics & probability letters. Vol. 41, no. 3 (Feb. 1999). :p. 247-254.