Can long-lived species keep pace with climate change? Evidence of local persistence potential in a widespread conifer

Sarah M. Bisbing; Alexandra K. Urza; Brian J. Buma; David J. Cooper; Marjorie Matocq; Amy L. Angert

doi:10.1111/ddi.13191

Treesearch

Can long-lived species keep pace with climate change? Evidence of local persistence potential in a widespread conifer

Informally Refereed

Authors:

Sarah M. Bisbing, Alexandra K. Urza, Brian J. Buma, David J. Cooper, Marjorie Matocq, Amy L. Angert

Year:

2021

Type:

Scientific Journal

Station:

Rocky Mountain Research Station

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13191

Source:

Diversity and Distributions. 27: 296-312.

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Abstract

Our findings provide insight into the role of the landscape in shaping population genetic structure in a widespread tree species as well as the potential response of local populations to novel conditions, knowledge critical to understanding how widely distributed species may respond to climate change. Geographically based genetic structure and reduced survival under water-limited conditions may make some populations of widespread tree species more vulnerable to local maladaptation and extirpation. However, genetically diverse and phenotypically plastic populations of widespread trees, such as many of the P. contorta populations sampled and tested here, likely possess high persistence potential.

Keywords

adaptational lag, common gardens, landscape genetics, local adaptation, lodgepole pine, microsatellites, persistence potential, phenotypic plasticity, Pinus contorta

Citation

Bisbing, Sarah M.; Urza, Alexandra K.; Buma, Brian J.; Cooper, David J.; Matocq, Marjorie; Angert, Amy L. 2021. Can long-lived species keep pace with climate change? Evidence of local persistence potential in a widespread conifer. Diversity and Distributions. 27: 296-312.