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Abstract
Ecological resilience is a concept that is now being used to guide U.S. land management into the uncertain future. However, there are few operational means of assessing the resilience of a landscape or ecosystem. We present a new method for quantifying resilience that uses simulated historical range and variation (HRV) time series as the benchmark or reference to compare to contemporary conditions to assess resilience. However, managing for resilience based on historical conditions is somewhat tenuous in this era of climate change, therefore we integrate projected future conditions with HRV to inform the management of ecosystems and landscapes for resilience. We use simulation results from the FireBGCv2 landscape model applied to a large landscape in western Montana USA to illustrate the methods presented here.
Parent Publication
Citation
Keane, Robert E.; Hood, Sharon M.; Loehman, Rachel A.; Holsinger, Lisa M.; Higuera, Philip; Falk, Donald A. 2020. Using landscape simulation modeling to develop an operational resilience metric. In: Hood, Sharon M.; Drury, Stacy; Steelman, Toddi; Steffens, Ron, [eds.]. Proceedings of the Fire Continuum-Preparing for the future of wildland fire; 2018 May 21-24; Missoula, MT. Proceedings RMRS-P-78. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 294-300.
