Using Fay-Herriot models and variable radius plot data to develop a stand-level inventory and update a prior inventory in the western Cascades, OR, United States

Abstract

Stands are the primary unit for tactical and operational forest planning. Forest managers can use remote-sensing-based forest inventories to precisely estimate attributes of interest at the stand scale. However, remote-sensing-based inventories typically rely on models relating remote-sensing information to forest attributes for fixed area plots with accurate coordinates. The collection of that kind of ground data is expensive and time-consuming. Furthermore, remote-sensing-based inventories provide precise descriptions of the forest when the remote-sensing data were collected, but they inevitably become outdated as the forest evolves. Fay-Herriot (FH), models can be used with ground information from variable radius plots even if the plot coordinates are unknown. Thus, they provide an efficient way to update old remote-sensing-based inventories or develop new ones when fixed radius plots are unavailable. In addition, FH models are well described in the small-area estimation literature and allow reporting estimation uncertainties, which is key to incorporating quality controls to remote-sensing inventories. We compared two scenarios developed in the Willamette National Forest, OR, United States, to produce stand-level estimates of above-ground biomass (AGB), and Volume (V) for natural and managed stands. The first, Case 1, was developed using auxiliary data from a recent lidar acquisition. The second, Case 2, was developed to update an old remote-sensing-based inventory. Results showed that FH models allowed for improvements in efficiency with respect to direct stand-level estimates obtained using only field data for both case scenarios and both typologies of stands. Average improvements in efficiency in natural stands were 37.36% for AGB and 33.10% for Volume for FH models from Case 1 and 20.19% for AGB and 19.25 for V for Case 2. For managed stands, average improvements for Case 1 were 2.29 and 19.92% for AGB and V, respectively, and for Case 2, improvements were 15.55% for AGB and 16.05% for V.

Citation

Temesgen, Hailemariam; Mauro, Francisco; Hudak, Andrew T.; Frank, Bryce; Monleon, Vicente; Fekety, Patrick; Palmer, Marin; Bryant, Timothy. 2021. Using Fay-Herriot models and variable radius plot data to develop a stand-level inventory and update a prior inventory in the western Cascades, OR, United States. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change. 4: 745916.