The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis

Andrew G. Wood; Andrzej Wuczyński; Dariusz Wysocki; Markéta Zárybnická; Antoni Margalida; Konrad Halupka; Lucyna Halupka; Debora Arlt; Jere Tolvanen; Alexandre Millon; Pierre Bize; Peter Adamík; Pascal Albert; Wayne J. Arendt; Alexander V Artemyev; Vittorio Baglione; Jerzy Bańbura; Mirosława Bańbura; Emilio Barba; Robert T. Barrett; Peter H. Becker; Eugen Belskii; Mark Bolton; E. Keith Bowers; Joël Bried; Lyanne Brouwer; Monika Bukacińska; Dariusz Bukaciński; Lesley Bulluck; Kate F. Carstens; Inês Catry; Motti Charter; Anna Chernomorets; Rita Covas; Monika Czuchra; Donald C. Dearborn; Florentino de Lope; Adrián S. Di Giacomo; Valery C. Dombrovski; Hugh Drummond; Michael J. Dunn; Tapio Eeva; Louise M. Emmerson; Yngve Espmark; Juan A. Fargallo; Sergey I Gashkov; Elena Yu. Golubova; Michael Griesser; Michael P. Harris; Jeffrey P. Hoover; Zuzanna Jagiełło; Patrik Karell; Janusz Kloskowski; Walter D. Koenig; Heikki Kolunen; Małgorzata Korczak-Abshire; Erkki Korpimäki; Indrikis Krams; Miloš Krist; Sonja C. Krüger; Boris D. Kuranov; Xavier Lambin; Michael P. Lombardo; Andrey Lyakhov; Alfonso Marzal; Anders P. Møller; Verónica C. Neves; Jan Tøttrup Nielsen; Alexander Numerov; Beata Orłowska; Daniel Oro; Markus Öst; Richard A. Phillips; Hannu Pietiäinen; Vicente Polo; Jiří Porkert; Jaime Potti; Hannu Pöysä; Thierry Printemps; Jouke Prop; Petra Quillfeldt; Jaime A. Ramos; Pierre-Alain Ravussin; Robert N. Rosenfield; Alexandre Roulin; Dustin R. Rubenstein; Irina E. Samusenko; Denis A. Saunders; Michael Schaub; Juan C. Senar; Fabrizio Sergio; Tapio Solonen; Diana V Solovyeva; Janusz Stępniewski; Paul M. Thompson; Marcin Tobolka; János Török; Martijn van de Pol; Louis Vernooij; Marcel E. Visser; David F. Westneat; Nathaniel T. Wheelwright; Jarosław Wiącek; Karen L. Wiebe

doi:10.1073/pnas.2208389120

Treesearch

The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis

Formally Refereed

Authors:

Andrew G. Wood, Andrzej Wuczyński, Dariusz Wysocki, Markéta Zárybnická, Antoni Margalida, Konrad Halupka, Lucyna Halupka, Debora Arlt, Jere Tolvanen, Alexandre Millon, Pierre Bize, Peter Adamík, Pascal Albert, Wayne J. Arendt, Alexander V Artemyev, Vittorio Baglione, Jerzy Bańbura, Mirosława Bańbura, Emilio Barba, Robert T. Barrett, Peter H. Becker, Eugen Belskii, Mark Bolton, E. Keith Bowers, Joël Bried, Lyanne Brouwer, Monika Bukacińska, Dariusz Bukaciński, Lesley Bulluck, Kate F. Carstens, Inês Catry, Motti Charter, Anna Chernomorets, Rita Covas, Monika Czuchra, Donald C. Dearborn, Florentino de Lope, Adrián S. Di Giacomo, Valery C. Dombrovski, Hugh Drummond, Michael J. Dunn, Tapio Eeva, Louise M. Emmerson, Yngve Espmark, Juan A. Fargallo, Sergey I Gashkov, Elena Yu. Golubova, Michael Griesser, Michael P. Harris, Jeffrey P. Hoover, Zuzanna Jagiełło, Patrik Karell, Janusz Kloskowski, Walter D. Koenig, Heikki Kolunen, Małgorzata Korczak-Abshire, Erkki Korpimäki, Indrikis Krams, Miloš Krist, Sonja C. Krüger, Boris D. Kuranov, Xavier Lambin, Michael P. Lombardo, Andrey Lyakhov, Alfonso Marzal, Anders P. Møller, Verónica C. Neves, Jan Tøttrup Nielsen, Alexander Numerov, Beata Orłowska, Daniel Oro, Markus Öst, Richard A. Phillips, Hannu Pietiäinen, Vicente Polo, Jiří Porkert, Jaime Potti, Hannu Pöysä, Thierry Printemps, Jouke Prop, Petra Quillfeldt, Jaime A. Ramos, Pierre-Alain Ravussin, Robert N. Rosenfield, Alexandre Roulin, Dustin R. Rubenstein, Irina E. Samusenko, Denis A. Saunders, Michael Schaub, Juan C. Senar, Fabrizio Sergio, Tapio Solonen, Diana V Solovyeva, Janusz Stępniewski, Paul M. Thompson, Marcin Tobolka, János Török, Martijn van de Pol, Louis Vernooij, Marcel E. Visser, David F. Westneat, Nathaniel T. Wheelwright, Jarosław Wiącek, Karen L. Wiebe

Year:

2023

Type:

Scientific Journal

Station:

International Institute of Tropical Forestry

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2208389120

Source:

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Abstract

Numerous studies have shown that climate change has altered avian timing of breeding. However, little is known about climate-driven changes in offspring production. We collected long-term breeding data on 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) from all continents, between 1970 and 2019, to assess temporal changes in annual offspring production by female breeders in relation to changes in local temperatures and species’ life history traits. Overall, offspring production declined over time, but responses of different populations to rising temperatures were diverse. Our analyses suggest that negative effects of rising temperatures on offspring production will mainly affect migratory and largerbodied species, whereas smallerbodied sedentary species may benefit from warmer climate.

Citation

Halupka, Lucyna; Arlt, Debora; Tolvanen, Jere; Millon, Alexandre; Bize, Pierre; Adamík, Peter; Albert, Pascal; Arendt, Wayne J.; Artemyev, Alexander V.; Baglione, Vittorio; Bańbura, Jerzy; Bańbura, Mirosława; Barba, Emilio; Barrett, Robert T.; Becker, Peter H.; Belskii, Eugen; Bolton, Mark; Bowers, E. Keith; Bried, Joël; Brouwer, Lyanne; Bukacińska, Monika; Bukaciński, Dariusz; Bulluck, Lesley; Carstens, Kate F.; Catry, Inês; Charter, Motti; Chernomorets, Anna; Covas, Rita; Czuchra, Monika; Dearborn, Donald C.; de Lope, Florentino; Di Giacomo, Adrián S.; Dombrovski, Valery C.; Drummond, Hugh; Dunn, Michael J.; Eeva, Tapio; Emmerson, Louise M.; Espmark, Yngve; Fargallo, Juan A.; Gashkov, Sergey I.; Golubova, Elena Yu.; Griesser, Michael; Harris, Michael P.; Hoover, Jeffrey P.; Jagiełło, Zuzanna; Karell, Patrik; Kloskowski, Janusz; Koenig, Walter D.; Kolunen, Heikki; Korczak-Abshire, Małgorzata; Korpimäki, Erkki; Krams, Indrikis; Krist, Miloš; Krüger, Sonja C.; Kuranov, Boris D.; Lambin, Xavier; Lombardo, Michael P.; Lyakhov, Andrey; Marzal, Alfonso; Møller, Anders P.; Neves, Verónica C.; Nielsen, Jan Tøttrup; Numerov, Alexander; Orłowska, Beata; Oro, Daniel; Öst, Markus; Phillips, Richard A.; Pietiäinen, Hannu; Polo, Vicente; Porkert, Jiří; Potti, Jaime; Pöysä, Hannu; Printemps, Thierry; Prop, Jouke; Quillfeldt, Petra; Ramos, Jaime A.; Ravussin, Pierre-Alain; Rosenfield, Robert N.; Roulin, Alexandre; Rubenstein, Dustin R.; Samusenko, Irina E.; Saunders, Denis A.; Schaub, Michael; Senar, Juan C.; Sergio, Fabrizio; Solonen, Tapio; Solovyeva, Diana V.; Stępniewski, Janusz; Thompson, Paul M.; Tobolka, Marcin; Török, János; van de Pol, Martijn; Vernooij, Louis; Visser, Marcel E.; Westneat, David F.; Wheelwright, Nathaniel T.; Wiącek, Jarosław; Wiebe, Karen L.; Wood, Andrew G.; Wuczyński, Andrzej; Wysocki, Dariusz; Zárybnická, Markéta; Margalida, Antoni; Halupka, Konrad. 2023. The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 120(19): 295-. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2208389120.