Forecasting outdoor recreation participation: a cohort-component projection model for Illinois residents

Abstract

Population projections for Illinois predicts lower growth, an older population, and increased racial diversity. If percent of the population participating in outdoor recreation activities by age and race remains at present levels, cohort-component projection models suggest that with projected changes in the population between 1990 and 2025, the number of Illinois participants engaging in many outdoor recreation activities will increase at a slow rate or decrease. Future participants will be older and increasingly from non-white groups.

Parent Publication

• Proceedings of the 1994 Northeastern Recreation Research Symposium

Citation

Dwyer, John F. 1995. Forecasting outdoor recreation participation: a cohort-component projection model for Illinois residents. In: Vander Stoep, Gail A., ed. Proceedings of the 1994 Northeastern Recreation Research Symposium; 1994 April 10-12; Saratoga Springs, NY.: Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-198. Radnor, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. 172-176