Appendix 2: Risk-based framework and risk case studies. Risk assessment for forested habitats in northern Wisconsin.

Abstract

We used a risk matrix to assess risk from climate change for multiple forest species by discussing an example that depicts a range of risk for three tree species of northern Wisconsin. Risk is defined here as the product of the likelihood of an event occurring and the consequences or effects of that event. In the context of species habitats, likelihood is related to potential changes in suitable habitat at various times in the future. Consequences are related to the adaptability of a species to cope with the changes, especially the increasing intensity or frequency of future disturbance events. Data were generated from an atlas of climate change for 134 tree species of the Eastern United States (USDA FS 2011).

Parent Publication

• Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S

Citation

Iverson, Louis R.; Matthews, Stephen N.; Prasad, Anantha M.; Peters, Matthew P.; Yohe, Gary W. 2012. Appendix 2: Risk-based framework and risk case studies. Risk assessment for forested habitats in northern Wisconsin. In: Vose, James M.; Peterson, David L.; Patel-Weynand, Toral, eds. Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-870. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station: 253-255.