2010 Resources Planning Act Assessment Cycle
2010 Resources Planning Act Assessment
The 2010 Resources Planning Act Assessment and its mid-cycle update provided a snapshot of U.S. forest and rangeland conditions on all ownerships, identified drivers of change for natural resource conditions, and projected the effects of those drivers on resource conditions 50 years into the future. This assessment used a set of future scenarios that influence the resource projections, allowing its users to explore a range of possible futures for U.S. renewable natural resources. Report authors used future scenarios to analyze the effects of human and environmental influences on forests and rangelands, including population growth, domestic and global economic growth, global wood energy consumption, land use change, and climate change. The 2010 Assessment expanded analysis of climate effects from previous versions by directly incorporating climate variables into several resource analyses, including forest inventory projections, rangeland productivity projections, wildlife habitat stress projections, outdoor recreation participation, and water.
Four key themes emerged from the findings:
- Land development will continue to threaten the integrity of natural ecosystems.
- Climate change will alter natural ecosystems and affect their ability to provide goods and services.
- Competition for goods and services from natural ecosystems will increase.
- Geographic variation in resource response to drivers of change will require regional and local strategies to sustain natural resources.
2010 Assessment Supporting Publications
- USDA Forest Service. 2012. Future scenarios: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Stan Zarnoch, Ken Cordell, Carter Betz, Linda Langner. 2010. Projecting county-level populations under three future scenarios: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Linda A. Joyce, David T. Price, David Coulson, Daniel W. McKenney, R. Martin Siltanen, Pia Papadopol, Kevin Lawrence. 2014. Projecting climate change in the United States: A technical document supporting the Forest Service RPA 2010 Assessment
- David N. Wear. 2011. Forecasts of county-level land uses under three future scenarios: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
Historical Climate Data and Climate Projections
- David P. Coulson; Linda A. Joyce, David T. Price, Daniel W. McKenney, Martin R. Siltanen, Pia Papadopol, Kevin Lawrence. 2010. Climate Scenarios for the conterminous United States at the county spatial scale using SRES scenarios A1B and A2 and PRISM climatology.
- David P. Coulson, Linda A. Joyce, David T. Price, Daniel W. McKenney. 2010. Climate Scenarios for the conterminous United States at the county spatial scale using SRES scenario B2 and PRISM climatology.
- David P. Coulson, Linda A. Joyce, David T. Price, Daniel W. McKenney, Martin R. Siltanen, Pia Papadopol; Kevin Lawrence. 2010. Climate Scenarios for the conterminous United States at the 5 arc minute grid spatial scale using SRES scenarios A1B and A2 and PRISM climatology.
- David P. Coulson, Linda A. Joyce, David T. Price, Daniel W. McKenney. Climate Scenarios for the conterminous United States at the 5 arc minute grid spatial scale using SRES scenario B2 and PRISM climatology.
- David P. Coulson, Linda A. Joyce. 2010. Historical Climate data (1940-2006) for the conterminous United States at the county spatial scale based on PRISM climatology.
- David P. Coulson, Linda A. Joyce. 2010. Historical climate data (1940-2006) for the conterminous United States at the 5 arc minute grid spatial scale based on PRISM climatology.
- David N. Wear, Robert Huggett, Ruhong Li, Benjamin Perryman, Shan Liu. 2013. Forecasts of forest conditions in regions of the United States under future scenarios: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Joseph Buongiorno, Shushuai Zhu, Ronald Raunikar, Jeffrey P. Prestemon. 2012. Outlook to 2060 for world forests and forest industries: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment
- Brett J. Butler. 2008. Family Forest Owners of the United States, 2006
- Eric J. Greenfield, David J. Nowak. 2013. Tree cover and aridity projections to 2060: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment
- Sarah J. Hines, Linda S. Heath, Richard Birdsey. 2010. An annotated bibliography of scientific literature on managing forests for carbon benefits
- Peter J. Ince, Andrew Kramp, Kenneth E. Skog, Henry N. Spelter, David N. Wear. 2011. U.S. forest products module : a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- David B. McKeever, James L. Howard. 2011. Solid wood timber products consumption in major end uses in the United States, 1950-2009 : a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment
- Kenneth E. Skog, David B. McKeever, Peter J. Ince, James L. Howard, Henry N. Spelter, Albert T. Schuler. 2012. Status and Trends for the U.S. Forest Products Sector: A Technical Document Supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- W. Brad Smith, Patrick D. Miles, Charles H. (Hobie) Perry, Scott A. Pugh. 2009. Forest Resources of the United States, 2007
- Miranda H. Mockrin, Richard A. Aiken, Curtis H. Flather. 2012. Wildlife-associated recreation trends in the United States: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Michael Bowker, Ashley E. Askew, Ken Cordell, Carter Betz, Stan Zarnoch, Lynne Seymour. 2012. Outdoor recreation participation in the United States - projections to 2060: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Ken Cordell. 2012. Outdoor recreation trends and futures: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Ken Cordell, Carter Betz, Stan Zarnoch. 2013. Recreation and protected land resources in the United States: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Matthew Clark Reeves, John Mitchell. 2012. A synoptic review of U.S. rangelands: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Romano Foti, Jorge A. Ramirez, Thomas C. Brown. 2012. Vulnerability of U.S. water supply to shortage: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Andrew J. Loftus, Curtis H. Flather. 2012. Fish and other aquatic resource trends in the United States: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Curtis H. Flather, Michael Knowles, Martin F. Jones, Carol Schilli. 2013. Wildlife population and harvest trends in the United States: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Miranda H. Mockrin, Richard A. Aiken, Curtis H. Flather. 2012. Wildlife-associated recreation trends in the United States: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- Curtis H. Flather, Michael S. Knowles, Martin F. Jones, Carol J. Schilli. 2014. Wildlife population and harvest data for Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment.
- Ken Cordell, Vahé Heboyan, Florence Santos, John C. Bergstrom. 2011. Natural amenities and rural population migration: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
Update to the 2010 Assessment
The Forest Service published an interim update to the 2010 Assessment in 2016. It built upon the 2010 Assessment and provided more recent information and new analyses about resource conditions and trends on the Nation's forests and rangelands. It also examined how land development, climate change, and natural disturbances continued to influence the extent, pattern, and conditions of forests and rangelands. The interaction of socioeconomic and biophysical drivers affects the productivity of forest and rangeland ecosystems and their ability to meet increasing demands for goods and services. These effects vary regionally and locally, requiring flexible adaptation and management strategies.
In addition to updating trends and projections, the update to the 2010 Assessment examined wood pellet export markets and their effects on southern forests, the effect of adaption options on water scarcity, and how different patterns in natural resource, human, and economic development affect natural resource outlooks for two National Forest System regions.
2010 Assessment Update Supporting Publications
- Sonja Oswalt, W. Brad Smith, Patrick D. Miles, Scott A. Pugh. 2014. Forest Resources of the United States, 2012: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 update of the RPA Assessment
- Brett J. Butler, Stephanie Snyder. 2017. National Woodland Owner Survey: family forest ownerships with 1 to 9 acres, 2011-2013
- Brett J. Butler, Jaketon H. Hewes, Brenton J. Dickinson, Kyle Andrejczyk, Sarah M. Butler, Marla Markowski-Lindsay. 2016. USDA Forest Service National Woodland Owner Survey: national, regional, and state statistics for family forest and woodland ownerships with 10+ acres, 2011-2013
- Karen Abt, Robert C. Abt, Christopher S. Galik, Kenneth E. Skog. 2014. Effect of policies on pellet production and forests in the U.S. South: a technical document supporting the Forest Service update of the 2010 RPA Assessment
- Ashley E. Askew, Michael Bowker, Donald B.K. English, Stan Zarnoch, Gary T. Green. 2017. A temporal importance-performance analysis of recreation attributes on national forests: a technical document supporting the Forest Service update of the 2010 RPA Assessment