2010 Resources Planning Act Assessment Cycle

2010 Resources Planning Act Assessment

The 2010 Resources Planning Act Assessment and its mid-cycle update provided a snapshot of U.S. forest and rangeland conditions on all ownerships, identified drivers of change for natural resource conditions, and projected the effects of those drivers on resource conditions 50 years into the future. This assessment used a set of future scenarios that influence the resource projections, allowing its users to explore a range of possible futures for U.S. renewable natural resources. Report authors used future scenarios to analyze the effects of human and environmental influences on forests and rangelands, including population growth, domestic and global economic growth, global wood energy consumption, land use change, and climate change. The 2010 Assessment expanded analysis of climate effects from previous versions by directly incorporating climate variables into several resource analyses, including forest inventory projections, rangeland productivity projections, wildlife habitat stress projections, outdoor recreation participation, and water.

Four key themes emerged from the findings: 

  • Land development will continue to threaten the integrity of natural ecosystems. 
  • Climate change will alter natural ecosystems and affect their ability to provide goods and services. 
  • Competition for goods and services from natural ecosystems will increase. 
  • Geographic variation in resource response to drivers of change will require regional and local strategies to sustain natural resources. 

2010 Assessment Supporting Publications

Historical Climate Data and Climate Projections

Update to the 2010 Assessment

The Forest Service published an interim update to the 2010 Assessment in 2016. It built upon the 2010 Assessment and provided more recent information and new analyses about resource conditions and trends on the Nation's forests and rangelands. It also examined how land development, climate change, and natural disturbances continued to influence the extent, pattern, and conditions of forests and rangelands. The interaction of socioeconomic and biophysical drivers affects the productivity of forest and rangeland ecosystems and their ability to meet increasing demands for goods and services. These effects vary regionally and locally, requiring flexible adaptation and management strategies.

In addition to updating trends and projections, the update to the 2010 Assessment examined wood pellet export markets and their effects on southern forests, the effect of adaption options on water scarcity, and how different patterns in natural resource, human, and economic development affect natural resource outlooks for two National Forest System regions.

2010 Assessment Update Supporting Publications

Last updated July 14, 2026