Treesearch

This paper demonstrates the possibility of optimal planning and control of timber harvesting activ-ities with mathematical optimization models. The separate phases of timber harvesting are represented by coordinated models which can be used to select the optimal decision for the execution of any given phase. The models form a system whose components are connected and controlled by means of information flows. A mathematical model is presented for the optimal planning of harvesting activities for the forest enterprise. The use of a mathematical model contributes to the balancing of supply...

Mathematical programming applications in the Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, are growing. They are being used for widely varying problems: budgeting, lane use planning, timber transport, road maintenance and timber harvest planning. Large-scale applications are being mace in budgeting. The model that is described can be used by developing economies.

A reforestation planning system for the Douglas-fir region of the Western United States is described. Part of the system is a simulation model to predict plantation growth and to determine economic thinning regimes and rotation ages as a function of site characteristics, initial density, reforestation costs, and management constraints. A second model estimates the expected value of alternative reforestation projects and determines the optimum allocation of scarce resources to these projects via linear programming. The applicability of the system to developing countries is briefly considered.

A computerized mapping system originally developed for planning the control of the spruce budworm in Maine has been extended into a tool for planning road net-work development and optimizing transportation costs. A budgetary process and a mathematical linear programming routine are used interactively with the mapping and information retrieval capabilities of the system to determine the allocation and association of wood sources and markets.

Nutzwertanalyse (NUWA) is a psychometric instrument for finding the test compromise in the multiple use planning of forestry, when the multiple objectives cannot be expressed in the same physical or monetary unit. It insures a systematic assessment of the consequences of proposed alternatives and thoroughly documents the decision process. The method leads to a ranking of alternatives based upon weighting of the objectives and evaluation of the contribution of each alternative to these objectives. The use of the method is illustrated with hypothetical data.

Investigations on complicated, complex, and not well-ordered systems are possible only with the aid of mathematical methods and electronic data processing. Simulation as a method of operations research is particularly suitable for this purpose. Theoretical and computational foundations of management class simulation must be integrated into the planning systems of forest management and must provide a large number of alternatives for action. A model already in wide use is described.

A computerized tree growth projection system has been developed for the Lake States Region as part of a larger Forest Resources Evaluation Program (FREP). Incorporating data from more than 1500 permanent growth plots throughout the Lake States, this system projects tree growth, mortality, regeneration, and removals in stands with any mixture of tree species and sizes, for the full range of sites encountered in the field. It incorporates the latest published timber management guides for the Lake States. It can identify silvicultural treatment opportunities now and in the future from the...

From the location of a fire lookout and the sites of past fires within a given radius about a lookout, an estimate of the fire distribution with respect to distance from the lookout can be obtained. The estimated distribution can include all fires located within a given number of feet below the last maximum line of sight from the lookout. Seen areas for the same lookout can be developed, stored, and plotted at a computer site for future work.

These Symposium papers cover bases of control, control planning and decisionmaking, control operations and accomplishments, refining and improving control techniques, and pest damage and integrated control. A program summary and a list of literature references on the dwarf mistletoes are included.