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- Contemporary wildfires in southwestern US ponderosa pine forests can leave uncharacteristically large patches of tree mortality, raising concerns about the lack of seed-producing trees, which can prevent or significantly delay ponderosa pine regeneration. We established 4-ha plots in high-severity burn patches in two Arizona wildfires, the 2000 Pumpkin and 2002 Rodeo-Chediski Fires, to determine if: (1) distance from forest edge influences the density and spatial patterns of regenerating ponderosa pine and sprouting tree species, (2) interactions with re-sprouting trees affect spatial...AuthorsSuzanne M. Owen, Carolyn H. Sieg, Andrew J. Sanchez Meador, Peter Z. Fule, Jose Iniguez, Scott Baggett, Paula J. Fornwalt, Michael A. BattagliaKeywordsSourceForest Ecology and Management. 405: 134-149.Year2017
- Management of forest carbon stocks on public lands is critical to maintaining or enhancing carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere. Acknowledging this, an array of federal regulations and policies have emerged that requires US National Forests to report baseline carbon stocks and changes due to disturbance and management and assess how management activities and forest plans affect carbon stocks. To address these requirements with the best-available science, we compiled empirical and remotely sensed data covering the National Forests (one fifth of the area of US forest land) and analyzed...AuthorsAlexa J. Dugan, Richard Birdsey, Sean P. Healey, Yude Pan, Fangmin Zhang, Gang Mo, Jing Chen, Christopher W. W. Woodall, Alexander J. Hernandez, Kevin McCullough, James B. McCarter, Crystal Raymond, Karen Dante-WoodSourceClimatic Change. 144: 207-220.Year2017
- Disturbance is a critical ecological process in forested systems, and disturbance maps are important for understanding forest dynamics. Landsat data are a key remote sensing dataset for monitoring forest disturbance and there recently has been major growth in the development of disturbance mapping algorithms. Many of these algorithms take advantage of the high temporal data volume to mine subtle signals in Landsat time series, but as those signals become subtler, they are more likely to be mixed with noise in Landsat data. This study examines the similarity among seven different algorithms...AuthorsWarren B. Cohen, Sean P. Healey, Zhiqiang Yang, Stephen V. Stehman, C. Kenneth Brewer, Evan B. Brooks, Noel Gorelick, Chengqaun Huang, M. Joseph Hughes, Robert Kennedy, Thomas R. Loveland, Gretchen Moisen, Todd A. Schroeder, James E. Vogelmann, Curtis E. Woodcock, Limin Yang, Zhe ZhuSourceForests. 8: 98.Year2017
- Dryland biomes cover two-fifths of Earth’s land surface, but their forest area is poorly known. Here, we report an estimate of global forest extent in dryland biomes, based on analyzing more than 210,000 0.5-hectare sample plots through a photo-interpretation approach using large databases of satellite imagery at (i) very high spatial resolution and (ii) very high temporal resolution, which are available through the Google Earth platform. We show that in 2015, 1327 million hectares of drylands had more than 10% tree-cover, and 1079 million hectares comprised forest. Our estimate is 40 to...AuthorsJean-Francois Bastin, Nora Berrahmouni, Alan Grainger, Danae Maniatis, Danilo Mollicone, Rebecca Moore, Chiara Patriarca, Nicolas Picard, Ben Sparrow, Elena Maria Abraham, Kamel Aloui, Ayhan Atesoglu, Fabio Attore, Caglar Bassullu, Adia Bey, Monica Garzuglia, Luis G. GarcÌa-Montero, Nikee Groot, Greg Guerin, Lars Laestadius, Andrew J. Lowe, Bako Mamane, Giulio Marchi, Paul L. Patterson, Marcelo Rezende, Stefano Ricci, Ignacio Salcedo, Alfonso Sanchez-Paus Diaz, Fred Stolle, Venera Surappaeva, Rene CastroKeywordsSourceScience. 356(6338): 635-638.Year2017
- Context: Wildland fire intensity influences natural communities, soil properties, erosion, and sequestered carbon. Measuring effectiveness of fuel treatment for reducing area of higher intensity unplanned fire is argued to be more meaningful than determining effect on total unplanned area burned. Objectives: To contrast the relative importance of fuel treatment effort, ignition management effort and weather for simulated total area burned and area burned by moderate-to-high intensity fire, and to determine the level of consensus among independent models. Methods: Published and previously...AuthorsGeoffrey J. Cary, Ian D. Davies, Ross A. Bradstock, Robert E. Keane, Mike D. FlanniganKeywordsSourceLandscape Ecology. 32: 1473-1483.Year2017
- Context: Interactions among disturbances, climate, and vegetation influence landscape patterns and ecosystem processes. Climate changes, exotic invasions, beetle outbreaks, altered fire regimes, and human activities may interact to produce landscapes that appear and function beyond historical analogs. Objectives We used the mechanistic ecosystem-fire process model FireBGCv2 to model interactions of wildland fire, mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae), and white pine blister rust (Cronartium ribicola) under current and future climates, across three diverse study areas. Methods: We...AuthorsRachel A. Loehman, Robert E. Keane, Lisa M. Holsinger, Zhiwei WuKeywordsSourceLandscape Ecology. 32: 1447-1459.Year2017
- It is generally assumed that severe disturbances predispose damaged forests to high fire hazard by creating heavy fuel loading conditions. Of special concern is the perception that surface fuel loadings become high as recently killed trees deposit foliage and woody material on the ground and that these high fuel loadings may cause abnormally severe fires. This study evaluated effects of severe, exogenous disturbance events, namely fire and beetles, on future fuel conditions through biannual field collections. We measured surface fuel deposition and accumulation rates for a number of forest...AuthorsChris M. Stalling, Robert E. Keane, Molly RetzlaffKeywordsSourceForest Ecology and Management. 400: 38-47.Year2017
- Wind erosion of soils burned by wildfire contributes substantial particulate matter (PM) in the form of dust to the atmosphere, but the magnitude of this dust source is largely unknown. It is important to accurately quantify dust emissions because they can impact human health, degrade visibility, exacerbate dust-on-snow issues (including snowmelt timing, snow chemistry, and avalanche danger), and affect ecological and biogeochemical cycles, precipitation regimes, and the Earth’s radiation budget. We used a novel modeling approach in which local-scale winds were used to drive a high-resoluti...AuthorsNatalie S. Wagenbrenner, S. H. Chung, B. K. LambSourceElementa: Science of the Anthropocene. 5: 2.Year2017
- We modeled forest restoration scenarios to examine socioeconomic and ecological trade-offs associated with alternative prioritization scenarios. The study examined four US national forests designated as priorities for investments to restore fire resiliency and generate economic opportunities to support local industry. We were particularly interested in economic trade-offs that would result from prioritization of management activities to address forest departure and wildfire risk to the adjacent urban interface. The results showed strong trade-offs and scale effects on production possibility...AuthorsAlan Ager, Kevin C. Vogler, Michelle A. Day, John D. BaileyKeywordsSourceEcological Economics. 136: 226-239.Year2017
- We characterized wildfire transmission and exposure within a matrix of large land tenures (federal, state, and private) surrounding 56 communities within a 3.3 million ha fire prone region of central Oregon US. Wildfire simulation and network analysis were used to quantify the exchange of fire among land tenures and communities and analyze the relative contributions of human versus natural ignitions to wildfire exposure. Among the land tenures examined, the area burned by incoming fires averaged 57% of the total burned area. Community exposure from incoming fires ignited on surrounding...AuthorsAlan Ager, Cody R. Evers, Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Ana M. G. Barros, Max Nielsen-PincusKeywordsSourcePLoS ONE. 12(3): e0172867.Year2017