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- Nonnative plant pests cause billions of dollars in damages. It is critical to prevent or reduce these losses by intervening at various stages of the invasion process, including pathway risk management (to prevent pest arrival), surveillance and eradication (to counter establishment), and management of established pests (to limit damages). Quantifying benefits and costs of these interventions is important to justify and prioritize investments and to inform biosecurity policy. However, approaches for these estimations differ in (1) the assumed relationship between supply, demand, and prices,...AuthorsMelissa J. Welsh, James A. Turner, Rebecca S. Epanchin‐Niell, Juan J. Monge, Tarek Soliman, Andrew P. Robinson, John M. Kean, Craig Phillips, Lloyd D. Stringer, Jessica Vereijssen, Andrew M. Liebhold, Tom Kompas, Michael Ormsby, Eckehard G. BrockerhoffKeywordsSourceEcological ApplicationsYear2021
- Scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool to analyze complex and uncertain future socio-ecological developments. However, currently existing global scenarios (narratives of how the world may develop) have neglected biological invasions, a major threat to biodiversity and the economy. Here, we use a novel participatory process to develop a diverse set of global biological invasion scenarios spanning a wide range of plausible global futures through to 2050. We adapted the widely used "two axes" scenario analysis approach to develop four families of four scenarios each, resulting in 16...AuthorsNúria Roura-Pascual, Brian Leung, Wolfgang Rabitsch, Lucas Rutting, Joost Vervoort, Sven Bacher, Stefan Dullinger, Karl-Heinz Erb, Jonathan M. Jeschke, Stelios Katsanevakis, Ingolf Kühn, Bernd Lenzner, Andrew M. Liebhold, Michael Obersteiner, Anibal Pauchard, Garry D. Peterson, Helen E. Roy, Hanno Seebens, Marten Winter, Mark A. Burgman, Piero Genovesi, Philip E. Hulme, Reuben P. Keller, Guillaume Latombe, Melodie A. McGeoch, Gregory M. Ruiz, Riccardo Scalera, Michael R. Springborn, Betsy von Holle, Franz EsslKeywordsSourceSustainability ScienceYear2021
- Non-native organisms have invaded novel ecosystems for centuries, yet we have only a limited understanding of why their impacts vary widely from minor to severe. Predicting the impact of non-established or newly detected species could help focus biosecurity measures on species with the highest potential to cause widespread damage. However, predictive models require an understanding of potential drivers of impact and the appropriate level at which these drivers should be evaluated. Here, we used non-native, specialist herbivorous insects of forest ecosystems to test which factors drive...AuthorsAshley N. Schulz, Angela M. Mech, Matthew P. Ayres, Kamal J. K. Gandhi, Nathan P. P. Havill, Daniel A. Herms, Angela M. Hoover, Ruth A. Hufbauer, Andrew M. Liebhold, Travis D. Marsico, Kenneth F. Raffa, Patrick Tobin, Daniel R. Uden, Kathryn A. ThomasKeywordsSourceBiological InvasionsYear2021
Balancing Large-Scale Wildlife Protection and Forest Management Goals with a Game-Theoretic Approach
When adopted, wildlife protection policies in Canadian forests typically cover large areas and affect multiple economic agents working in these landscapes. Such measures are likely to increase the costs of timber for forestry companies operating in the area, which may hinder their acceptance of the policies unless harvesting remains profitable. We propose a bi-level wildlife protection problem that accounts for the profit-maximizing behavior of forestry companies operating in an area subject to protection. We consider the regulator with a wildlife protection mandate and forestry companies...AuthorsDenys Yemshanov, Robert G. Haight, Ning Liu, Robert S. Rempel, Frank H. H. Koch, Art RodgersKeywordsSourceForestsYear2021- Frost damage is among the major limitations to reforestation and forest restoration projects worldwide. Investigations of environmental and genetic effects on frost resistance have focused on boreal and temperate tree species rather than tropical trees. Koa (Acacia koa A. Gray) is a valuable tropical hardwood tree species endemic to the Hawaiian Islands, USA. Koa occurs across a wide elevational gradient, and newly planted trees are subject to winter frost at high elevations. We sought to determine whether different koa populations show variation in freeze hardiness as a cold-tolerance...AuthorsLilian M. Ayala-Jacobo, Keith Woeste, Douglass F. JacobsKeywordsSourceForestsYear2021
- Key message. Quercus rubra half sib progenies (N = 93) expressed high levels of variance for both growth and stem form traits in three locations in Indiana, USA at age 11 or 12. Height, diameter, and volume were measured and sweep, branch angle, forking, and branch retention were rated using a (+ / −) system. Families selected for volume showed no unfavorable increases in sweep or branch angle and only a slight increase in branch retention. Context. Northern red oak (Quercus rubra L.) is the most planted hardwood in the central USA. Red oak seeds from sources with improved growth and form...AuthorsKeith Woeste, Carolyn C. Pike, James C. Warren, Mark V. V. CoggeshallKeywordsSourceAnnals of Forest ScienceYear2021
- Currently, our ability to link wildland fire behaviour to fire effects is through the lens of fire severity assessments, because there are no ground-based post-fire metrics that are able to quantitively capture aspects of heat transfer to plants. This presents a particular challenge when considering tree mortality linked to cambial damage, which can occur in both low-intensity surface fires through to high-intensity crown fires. Recent research suggests that measuring the amount of light reflected from charcoals produced by wildland fires will provide information about the energy flux that...AuthorsClaire M. Belcher, Stacey L. New, Michael R. Gallagher, Mark J. Grosvenor, Ken Clark, Nicholas SkowronskiKeywordsSourceInternational Journal of Wildland FireYear2021
- The southern pine beetle, Dendroctonus frontalis, is a native pest of pine trees that has recently expanded its range into the northeastern United States. Understanding its colonization, dispersal, and connectivity will be critical for mitigating negative economic and ecological impacts in the newly invaded areas. Characterization of spatial-genetic structure can contribute to this; however, previous studies have reached different conclusions about regional population genetic structure, with one study reporting a weak east-west pattern, and the most recent reporting an absence of structure....AuthorsRyan C. Garrick, Ísis C. Arantes, Megan B. Stubbs, Nathan P. P. HavillKeywordsSourcePeerJ. 9: e11947. 30 p.Year2021
- The accidental spread of aquatic invasive species (AIS) by recreational boaters is a major concern of state and county environmental planners in the USA. While programs for watercraft inspection to educate boaters and slow AIS spread are common practice, large numbers of boats and waterbodies, together with limited budgets, make program design difficult. To facilitate program design, we developed an integer programming model for allocation of scarce inspection resources among lakes. Our model uses species-specific infestation status of lakes and estimates of boat movement between lakes....AuthorsRobert G. Haight, Amy C. Kinsley, Szu-Yu Kao, Denys Yemshanov, Nicholas B. D. PhelpsKeywordsSourceBiological InvasionsYear2021
- Chloroplast (cp) DNA genomes are traditional workhorses for studying the evolution of species and reconstructing phylogenetic relationships in plants. Species of the genus Castanea (chestnuts and chinquapins) are valued as a source of nuts and timber wherever they grow, and chestnut species hybrids are common. We compared the cp genomes of C. mollissima, C. seguinii, C. henryi, and C. pumila. These cp genomes ranged from 160,805 bp to 161,010 bp in length, comprising a pair of inverted repeat (IR) regions (25,685 to 25,701 bp) separated by a large single-copy (LSC) region (90,440 to 90,560...AuthorsHuijuan Zhou, Xiaoxiao Gao, Keith Woeste, Peng Zhao, Shuoxin ZhangSourceForestsYear2021