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- Wildfire risk mitigation on private property is central to reducing community wildfire vulnerability. Homeowners have control over many of the key factors that contribute to wildfire risk on their parcels, yet vulnerable conditions persist. One potential explanation is a misalignment between homeowners’ and trained assessors’ perceptions of parcel-level wildfire risk. Prior research has documented a “risk gap” in a single community wherein owners often underestimate their parcel-level wildfire risk; however, it is unclear whether such misalignments are widespread. This study replicates and...AuthorsKelly Wallace, Grant Webster, Hannah Brenkert‐Smith, Patricia A. Champ, Colleen Donovan, Carolyn Wagner, Christopher M. Barth, Josh Kuehn, Suzanne Wittenbrink, James R. MeldrumSourceRisk AnalysisYear2026
- Federally designated wilderness in the US is to be stewarded to provide, among other qualities, outstanding opportunities for unconfined recreation - or recreation generally free from rules and regulations. However, compared to other wilderness character qualities, measurement and monitoring of unconfined recreation is often considered less formally. This research seeks to understand the spatial distribution of unconfined recreation across wilderness areas and other federal and nonfederal protected areas in Colorado, and to answer questions related to comparative levels of confinement...AuthorsWilliam L. Rice, Miranda J. Foster, Soyoung Park, Chris A. ArmatasKeywordsSourceInternational Journal of WildernessYear2026
- Trust is essential for successful environmental governance, but more research is needed to understand how trust ecology dynamics interact to influence partnership success. We applied the trust ecology framework to partnerships between federal agencies and non-governmental organizations focused on outdoor recreation management. Data were collected from U.S. agency personnel and nonprofit organizations engaged in partnerships to understand partnership success, overall trust, and the four trust pathways: expected behavior (rational trust), emotional connection/shared values (affinitive...AuthorsMichael G. Sorice, Marc J. Stern, James Freeman, Chris A. ArmatasKeywordsSourceSociety and Natural ResourcesYear2026
- The 2017 fire season in Montana was especially severe, with more than 2,400 wildfires burning about 1.4 million acres across the state. In the aftermath, the Forest Service’s Northern Region headquarters helped assess and prioritize national forest recovery needs. The work required hundreds of hours compiling data, matching it with GIS layers and fire boundaries, and considering factors such as slope, aspect, and the presence of nearby tree species.AuthorsPaul Meznarich, Kim Davis, Zack HoldenKeywordsSourceScience You Can Use Tool. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.Year2026
- Diseases are threatening forests worldwide. In North America, white pine blister rust (WPBR) is one of the most damaging tree epidemics. To understand patterns in the current and future risk for high-elevation five-needle white pine species (High-5), we compiled data from independent studies across the western U.S. to estimate WPBR risk. Contrary to previous predictions, the future climate is not expected to reduce the prevalence of WPBR risk on High-5 species in the western U.S. The prevalence of WPBR is predicted to increase, with most distributions of the High-5 species projected to...AuthorsSparkle L. Malone, Anna W. Schoettle, Kelly S. Burns, Holly S. J. Kearns, Jane E. Stewart, Maria Newcomb, Christy M. CleaverKeywordsSourceCommunications Earth and EnvironmentYear2026
- Outcomes of European colonization encompass surface fire exclusion followed by the forestation of open ecosystems and tree densification within forests, with concomitant replacement of fire-tolerant tree species, specifically oaks, by fire-sensitive tree species. In Kentucky, a 10.5 million ha area of the eastern United States, I compared tree composition between a historical assessment (1907–1909) and modern surveys (2010–2014), utilizing a divergence metric of squared-chord distance, which revealed a similar progression. Following the time since Euro-American settlement and associated...AuthorsBrice B. HanberryKeywordsSourceFrontiers in Forests and Global ChangeYear2026
- Suitable climate for tree species currently located in Mexico may shift to the United States and Canada under future warming, resulting in the potential for tree species shifts, with new species gained in the USA and Canada and species losses in Mexico. To isolate dynamics, I modeled distributions of 184 commonly recorded wideranging or transboundary tree species of North America, including presence in Mexico, and 258 tree species primarily abundant in Mexico, including 51 endemic species, under current climate and predicted to three future climates (projected warming of 4.3–8.8 ◦ C during...AuthorsBrice B. HanberryKeywordsSourceForest EcosystemsYear2026
- Forest ecosystems provide essential services such as timber, water regulation, biodiversity, and recreation, yet they are increasingly influenced by the interplay between climate and socioeconomic forces. This study synthesizes findings from the 2020 Resources Planning Act (RPA) Assessment to evaluate how these factors affect historical trends and future projections of U.S. forest conditions and services. Results show that total forest area is projected to decline slightly by 2070, mainly due to conversion to developed land, with the greatest losses occurring in the South. While socioeconom...AuthorsTravis Warziniack, Jennifer Costanza, Rebecca L. Flitcroft, Linda A. Joyce, Christoper Mihia, Claire O'Dea, Sonja Oswalt, Jeffrey P. Prestemon, Eric WhiteKeywordsSourceEarth's FutureYear2026
- Increased wildfire activity in the US motivated the USDA Forest Service to update national wildfire simulation data used for risk assessment and prioritizing wildland fuel reduction programs. The update (FSim-2020 to FSim-2023) included revised data on fuels, ignition frequency, fire weather, and recalibration of the FSim model. We overlayed the new simulated fire perimeters with the most recent building footprint data to examine the change in magnitude and spatial patterns of estimated building exposure. We found that the update to FSim-2023 resulted in a 61% increase in simulated...AuthorsAlan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Cody R. Evers, John B. Kim, Becky K. Kerns, Chris D. RingoSourceLandscape and Urban PlanningYear2026
- For decades, national participation in hunting has been on the decline. One population of hunters, however, is bucking the trend: Women. Studies on women in hunting often focus on barriers to participation, such as lack of leisure time, lack of experience, and lack of role models. But despite those barriers, women’s participation has been increasing. In 2022 an estimated 3 million women represented 22 percent of all hunters, more than double the number from 2016. Given this upward trend, there are still many unanswered questions about what motivates women to participate in hunting.AuthorsOlga Helmy, Lauren RedmoreKeywordsSourceScience You Can Use (in 5 Minutes). Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.Year2026