Michelle A. Day

Treesearch Publications

• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Cody R. Evers, John B. Kim, Becky K. Kerns, Chris D. Ringo. 2026. Risk assessment in the Pyrocene - rapid changes in models and predictions complicate US policies to prioritize forest and fuel management
• Raymond Davis, Michelle A. Day, Rachel M. Houtman, Meg A. Krawchuk. 2026. Exposure and carbon risk for mature and old-growth forests from severe wildfire in the Pacific Northwest, U.S.A.
• Michelle A. Day, Claire Tortorelli, Lisa M. Ellsworth, Karen C. Short, Jessi L. Brown, Sofia Koutzoukis, Julia Olszewski, Alan Ager, Jeanne C. Chambers. 2025. Optimizing woody fuel treatments to reduce wildfire risk to sagebrush ecosystems in the Great Basin of the western US
• Patricia N. Manley, Liraz Bistritz, Nicholas Povak, Michelle A. Day. 2025. Going slow to go fast: Landscape designs to achieve multiple benefits
• Michelle A. Day, Signe Leirfallom. 2024. The ForSys Planning System at a glance
• Bruno A. Aparício, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day. 2024. Maximizing opportunities for co-implementing fuel break networks and restoration projects
• Becky K. Kerns, Michelle A. Day. 2024. Long‐term frequent fire and cattle grazing alter dry forest understory vegetation
• Janet S. Prevéy, Catherine S. Jarnevich, Ian S. Pearse, Seth M. Munson, Jens Stevens, Kevin J. Barrett, Jonathan D. Coop, Michelle A. Day, David Firmage, Paula J. Fornwalt, Katharine M. Haynes, James D. Johnston, Becky K. Kerns, Meg A. Krawchuk, Becky A. Miller, Ty C. Nietupski, Jacquilyn Roque, Judith D. Springer, Camille S. Stevens‑Rumann, Michael T. Stoddard, Claire Tortorelli. 2024. Non‑native plant invasion after fire in western USA varies by functional type and with climate
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Bruno A. Aparıcio, Rachel Houtman, Andrew Stinchfield. 2023. Optimizing the implementation of a forest fuel break network
• Pedro Belavenutti, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Woodam Chung. 2023. Multi-objective scheduling of fuel treatments to implement a linear fuel break network
• Michelle A. Day, Alan Ager, Rachel M. Houtman, Cody R. Evers. 2023. Prioritizing restoration and risk reduction landscape projects with the ForSys planning system
• Claire Tortorelli, John B. Kim, Nicole M. Vaillant, Karin Riley, Alex Dye, Ty C. Nietupski, Kevin C. Vogler, Rebecca Lemons, Michelle A. Day, Meg A. Krawchuk, Becky K. Kerns. 2023. Feeding the fire: Annual grass invasion facilitates modeled fire spread across Inland Northwest forest‐mosaic landscapes
• Fermín Alcasena, Alan Ager, Pedro Belavenutti, Meg Krawchuk, Michelle A. Day. 2022. Contrasting the efficiency of landscape versus community protection fuel treatment strategies to reduce wildfire exposure and risk
• Pedro Belavenutti, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Woodam Chung. 2022. Designing forest restoration projects to optimize the application of broadcast burning
• Luke W. Ridder, Lesley R. Morris, Michelle A. Day, Becky K. Kerns. 2022. Ventenata (Ventenata dubia) response to grazing and prescribed fire on the Pacific Northwest Bunchgrass Prairie
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Kostas Kalabokidis, Michelle A. Day, Alan Ager, Spyros Galatsidas, Lampros Papalampros. 2022. Modelling fire behavior to assess community exposure in Europe: Combining open data and geospatial analysis
• Alan Ager, Ana M. G. Barros, Michelle A. Day. 2022. Contrasting effects of future wildfire and forest management scenarios on a fire excluded western US landscape
• Ana M. G. Barros, Michelle A. Day, Thomas Spies, Alan Ager. 2021. Effects of ownership patterns on cross‑boundary wildfires
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Fermin J. Alcasena, Cody R. Evers, Karen C. Short, Isaac C. Grenfell. 2021. Predicting Paradise: Modeling future wildfire disasters in the western US
• Michelle A. Day, Chris Ringo, Alan Ager. 2021. Assessment of wildfire exposure to public water supply areas in Oregon [Chapter 8]
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Kostas Kalabokidis, Andreas Troumbis, Michelle A. Day, Max Nielsen-Pincus, Alan Ager. 2021. Socio-ecological perceptions of wildfire management and effects in Greece
• Alan Ager, Cody R. Evers, Michelle A. Day, Fermin J. Alcasena, Rachel Houtman. 2021. Planning for future fire: Scenario analysis of an accelerated fuel reduction plan for the western United States
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Kostas Kalabokidis, Alan Ager, Spyros Galatsidas, Lampros Papalampros, Michelle A. Day. 2021. Spatial optimization and tradeoffs of alternative forest management scenarios in Macedonia, Greece
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Amy Waltz, Mark Nigrelli, Kevin C. Vogler, Mary Lata. 2021. Balancing ecological and economic objectives in restoration of fire-adapted forests: Case study from the Four Forest Restoration Initiative
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Chris Ringo, Cody R. Evers, Fermin J. Alcasena, Rachel M. Houtman, Michael Scanlon, Tania Ellersick. 2021. Development and application of the fireshed registry
• Michelle A. Day, Rachel M. Houtman, Pedro Belavenutti, Chris Ringo, Alan Ager, Steve Bassett. 2021. An assessment of forest and woodland restoration priorities to address wildfire risk in New Mexico
• Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler, John T. Abatzoglou, Ana M. G. Barros, Meg A. Krawchuk, Rachel Houtman, Alan Ager. 2021. Contrasting the role of human- and lightning-caused wildfires on future fire regimes on a Central Oregon landscape
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Alan Ager, Cody Evers, Max Nielsen-Pincus, Michelle A. Day. 2020. Demographic analysis of transboundary wildfire exposure in the Western U.S.
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Kostas Kalabokidis, Michelle A. Day, Vasilis Kopsachilis. 2020. Evaluating socioecological wildfire effects in Greece with a novel numerical index
• Harold Zald, Becky K. Kerns, Michelle A. Day. 2020. Limited effects of long-term repeated season and interval of prescribed burning on understory vegetation compositional trajectories and indicator species in ponderosa pine forests of Northeastern Oregon, USA
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Kostas Kalabokidis, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day. 2020. Development of comprehensive fuel management strategies for reducing wildfire risk in Greece
• Becky K. Kerns, Michelle A. Day, Dana Ikeda. 2020. Long-term seeding outcomes in slash piles and skid trails after conifer removal
• Alan Ager, Ana M. G. Barros, Rachel Houtman, Rob Seli, Michelle A. Day. 2020. Modelling the effect of accelerated forest management on long-term wildfire activity
• Sylvia Kantor, Becky K. Kerns, Michelle A. Day. 2020. Can prescribed fire do the work we hired it to do?
• Becky K. Kerns, Claire Tortorelli, Michelle A. Day, Ty Nietupski, Ana M.G. Barros, John B. Kim, Meg A. Krawchuk. 2020. Invasive grasses: A new perfect storm for forested ecosystems?
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Alan Ager, Cody R. Evers, Max Nielsen-Pincus, Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler. 2019. Fine-scale assessment of cross-boundary wildfire events in the western United States
• Alan Ager, Richard Lasko, Viktor Myroniuk, Sergiy Zibtsev, Michelle A. Day, Uladzimir Usenia, Vadym Bogomolov, Ivan Kovalets, Cody R. Evers. 2019. The wildfire problem in areas contaminated by the Chernobyl disaster
• Alan Ager, Palaiologos Palaiologou, Cody R. Evers, Michelle A. Day, Chris Ringo, Karen C. Short. 2019. Wildfire exposure to the wildland urban interface in the western US
• Palaiologos Palaiologou, Alan Ager, Max Nielsen-Pincus, Cody R. Evers, Michelle A. Day. 2019. Social vulnerability to large wildfires in the western USA
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Palaiologos Palaiologou, Rachel M. Houtman, Chris Ringo, Cody R. Evers. 2019. Cross-boundary wildfire and community exposure: A framework and application in the western U.S.
• Alan Ager, Rachel M. Houtman, Michelle A. Day, Chris Ringo, Palaiologos Palaiologou. 2019. Tradeoffs between US national forest harvest targets and fuel management to reduce wildfire transmission to the wildland urban interface
• Ana M. G. Barros, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Meg A. Krawchuk, Thomas Spies. 2018. Wildfires managed for restoration enhance ecological resilience
• Alan Ager, Ana M. G. Barros, Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Thomas Spies, John Bolte. 2018. Analyzing fine-scale spatiotemporal drivers of wildfire in a forest landscape model
• Becky K. Kerns, Michelle A. Day. 2018. Prescribed fire regimes subtly alter ponderosa pine forest plant community structure
• Alan Ager, Palaiologos Palaiologou, Cody R. Evers, Michelle A. Day, Ana M. G. Barros. 2018. Assessing transboundary wildfire exposure in the southwestern United States
• Fermin J. Alcasena, Alan Ager, Michele Salis, Michelle A. Day, Cristina Vega-Garcia. 2018. Optimizing prescribed fire allocation for managing fire risk in central Catalonia
• Alan Ager, Ana M. G. Barros, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Michelle A. Day, Thomas Spies, John D. Bailey, John P. Bolte. 2017. Effects of accelerated wildfire on future fire regimes and implications for the United States federal fire policy
• Alan Ager, Rachel M. Houtman, Robert C. Seli, Michelle A. Day, John Bailey. 2017. Integrating large wildfire simulation and forest growth modeling for restoration planning
• Alan Ager, Kevin C. Vogler, Michelle A. Day, John D. Bailey. 2017. Economic opportunities and trade-offs in collaborative forest landscape restoration
• Alan Ager, Cody R. Evers, Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Ana M. G. Barros, Max Nielsen-Pincus. 2017. Network analysis of wildfire transmission and implications for risk governance
• Ana M. G. Barros, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Thomas Spies, Eric M. White, Robert J. Pabst, Keith A. Olsen, Emily Platt, John D. Bailey, John P. Bolte. 2017. Spatiotemporal dynamics of simulated wildfire, forest management, and forest succession in central Oregon, USA
• Becky K. Kerns, Michelle A. Day. 2017. The importance of disturbance by fire and other abiotic and biotic factors in driving cheatgrass invasion varies based on invasion stage
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Karen C. Short, Cody R. Evers. 2016. Assessing the impacts of federal forest planning on wildfire risk-mitigation in the Pacific Northwest, USA
• Becky K. Kerns, John B. Kim, Jeffrey D. Kline, Michelle A. Day. 2016. US exposure to multiple landscape stressors and climate change
• Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Kevin Vogler. 2016. Production possibility frontiers and socioecological tradeoffs for restoration of fire adapted forests
• Kevin C. Vogler, Alan Ager, Michelle A. Day, Michael Jennings, John D. Bailey. 2015. Prioritization of forest restoration projects: Tradeoffs between wildfire protection, ecological restoration and economic objectives

Data and Tools

• Tool
  

  Landscape Simulator (LSim): Modeling Fire for Resilient Forest Futures

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/products/dataandtools/landscape-simulator-lsim-modeling-fire-resilient-forest-futures
• Tool
  

  Scenario Investment Planning Platform

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/products/dataandtools/scenario-investment-planning-platform
• Decision Support System
  

  ForSys

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/products/dataandtools/forsys

• Project
  

  The LSim forest landscape model: A case study of application on the Deschutes National Forest

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/lsim
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station
• Project
  

  Firesheds and the Fireshed Registry

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/firesheds
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station
• Program
  

  Fire, Fuel, and Smoke

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/programs/firefuelsmoke
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station
• Project
  

  Predicting future extreme wildfire events in the western US

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/projects/predictingfireevents
• Project
  

  Updating the Forest Service’s Most Important Tool for Confronting the Wildfire Crisis

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/pnw/projects/bil-updating-fs-tools-confronting-wildfire-crisis
  Station

  Pacific Northwest Research Station
• Project
  

  ForSys - Scenario planning model for multi-objective restoration and fuel management planning

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/forsys
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station
• Project
  

  Scenario Investment Planning Platform

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/scenarioinvestmentplanning
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station
• Project
  

  Long-term restoration synergies between wildfire and forest management on fire frequent landscapes

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/restorationsynergies
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station
• Project
  

  Assessment of community wildfire exposure in the western United States

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/projects/assessmentcommunitywildfire
  Station

  Rocky Mountain Research Station

Articles

• Article
  

  Estimating risk in the Pyrocene

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/articles/estimating-risk-pyrocene
• Article
  

  The Fireshed Registry: smarter wildfire planning

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/articles/fireshed-registry-smarter-wildfire-planning
• Article
  

  Prioritizing restoration and risk reduction landscape projects with the ForSys planning system

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/articles/prioritizing-restoration-and-risk-reduction-landscape-projects-forsys-planning-system

Other Publications

• Fact Sheet
  

  The ForSys Planning System at a Glance

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/understory/forsys-planning-system-glance

Multimedia

• Webinars

  Community Voices in Forest Planning: Lessons from the 3P Project

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/products/multimedia/webinars/community-voices-forest-planning-lessons-3p-project
• Webinars

  Fire Science You Can Use: Exploring Fire Impacts and Land Management Tradeoffs

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/rmrs/products/multimedia/webinars/fire-science-you-can-use-exploring-fire-impacts-and-land
• Video

  ForSys: A Scenario Planning Tool

  https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/products/multimedia/videos/forsys-scenario-planning-tool