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- Computer models used to predict forest and fuels dynamics and wildfire behavior inform decisionmaking in contexts such as postdisturbance management. It is imperative to understand possible uncertainty in model predictions. We evaluated sensitivity of the Fire and Fuels Extension to the Forest Vegetation Simulator predictions to parameters that determine dynamics of standing dead trees (snags) and surface woody fuels. Predicted peak coarse and fine woody fuels were not sensitive to the decomposition rate of snags but were sensitive to decomposition rate of surface fuels regardless of...AuthorsMaureen Kennedy, Morris C. Johnson, Sarah C. HarrisonKeywordsSourceForest Science. 67(1): 30-42.Year2020
- We tested whether post-fire seedling establishment of common boreal tree and expanding shrub species at treeline and in Arctic tundra is facilitated by co-migration of boreal forest mycorrhizal fungi. Wildfires are anticipated to facilitate biome shifts at the forest-tundra ecotone by improving seedbed conditions for recruiting boreal species; at the same time fire alters the composition and availability of mycorrhizal fungi critical to seedling performance. To determine the role of root-associated fungi (RAF) in post-fire seedling recruitment and future biome shifts, we outplanted four...AuthorsRebecca E. Hewitt, F. Stuart Chapin, Teresa Hollingsworth, Michelle C. Mack, Adrian V Rocha, D. Lee. TaylorKeywordsSourcePLOS ONE. 15(7): e0235932.Year2020
- The Trask River Watershed Study in the northern Oregon Coast Range was designed to examine physical, chemical, and biological effects of contemporary forest management practices on aquatic ecosystems. We measured stream temperature for 11 summers in 15 small watersheds, eight of which were harvested in 2012. Three riparian buffer treatments, which varied by landowner, were implemented. Using half-hourly data, we characterized summer water temperature distributions with five percentiles: 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 95th. Each percentile was analyzed as a separate response variable using a...AuthorsMaryanne Reiter, Sherri Johnson, Jessica Homyack, Jay E. Jones, Peter L. JamesKeywordsSourceEcohydrology. 13(3): e2178.Year2020
- Despite a critical need to evaluate effectiveness of forest treatments in improving stand health, practitioners lack quantitative, repeatable metrics to assess tree vigor and stand health. We evaluated canopy and whole tree attributes of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Dougl. Ex Laws) related to carbon balance, water balance, and susceptibility to insects and pathogens in dry, pine-dominated forest stands during a multi-year drought, an environmental challenge to stand resilience. Metrics of trees in two unmanaged, and seven treated forested stands, in both uplands and lowlands to develop...AuthorsNancy E. Grulke, Craig Bienz, Kate Hrinkevich, Jason Maxfield, Kellie UyedaKeywordsSourceForest Ecology and Management. 465(2): 118085.Year2020
- • The extent to which water availability can be used to predict the enlargement and final dimensions of xylem conduits remains an open issue. • We reconstructed the time course of tracheid enlargement in Pinus sylvestris trees in central Spain by repeated measurements of tracheid diameter on microcores sampled weekly during a 2 yr period. We analyzed the role of water availability in these dynamics empirically through time-series correlation analysis and mechanistically by building a model that simulates daily tracheid enlargement rate and duration based on Lockhart’s equation and water...AuthorsAntoine Cabon, Laura Fernández‐de‐Uña, Guillermo Gea‐Izquierdo, Frederick Meinzer, David R. Woodruff, Jordi Martínez‐Vilalta, Miquel De CáceresKeywordsSourceNew Phytologist. 225(1): 209-221.Year2020
- Conflicting evidence exists supporting linear and nonlinear density‐dependent population growth when species have slow life histories. The Ricker (linear) and θ‐logistic (nonlinear) models are commonly used to analyze survey data for these species, but no evaluation has examined whether these hypotheses can be differentiated with field data. We conducted a simulation exploring effects from shape of density dependence and variation in vital rates on the fit of these models. When vital rates had moderate to high variation, the models had similar fit. The θ‐logistic model differed from the...AuthorsLisa J. Koetke, Adam Duarte, Floyd W. WeckerlyKeywordsSourceNatural Resource Modeling. 33(4): 113-126.Year2020
- Population and land management relies on understanding population regulation and growth, which may be impacted by variation in population growth parameters within and among populations. We explored the interactions between variation in carrying capacity (K), intrinsic population growth rate (r), and strength of density dependence (β) within and among elk (Cervus elaphus) herds in a small part of the geographic range of the species. We also estimated stochastic fluctuations in abundance around K for each herd. We fit linear Ricker growth models using Bayesian statistics to seven time series...AuthorsLisa J. Koetke, Adam Duarte, Floyd W. WeckerlyKeywordsSourceScientific Reports. 10(1): 321-330.Year2020
- The non-indigenous colonial tunicate Didemnum vexillumplagues many shellfish aquaculture operations around the world by smothering crop and gear and displacing juvenile bivalves. There are two populations of D. vexillumin Oregon, but little is known regarding their spatial extent, seasonal dynamics, annual variability, reproductive biology, or ecology. SCUBA divers monitored the seasonal variation and spatial extent of the nascent D. vexillumpopulation in its current foothold at Umpqua Aquaculture, a longline oyster farm adjacent to Winchester Bay, Oregon. From May 2011 to November 2016,...AuthorsZofia R. Knorek, Bruce P. Hansen, Steven S. Rumrill, Scott D. Groth, Aaron W. E. GallowayKeywordsSourceAquatic Ecology. 54(4): 895-907.Year2020
- The early detection of plant pathogens at the landscape scale holds great promise for better managing forest ecosystem threats. In Hawai‘i, two recently described fungal species are responsible for increasingly widespread mortality in ‘ōhi‘a Metrosideros polymorpha, a foundational tree species in Hawaiian native forests. In this study, we share work from repeat laboratory and field measurements to determine if visible near-infrared and optical remote sensing can detect pre-symptomatic trees infected with these pathogens. After generating a dense time series of laboratory spectral reflectanc...AuthorsRyan L. Perroy, Marc Hughes, Lisa M. Keith, Eszter Collier, Timo Sullivan, Gabriel LowSourceRemote Sensing. 12(11): 1846.Year2020
- Climate change is expected to have heterogeneous effects on agriculture across the USA, where temperature and precipitation regimes are already changing. While the overall effect of climate change on agriculture is uncertain, farmers’ perceptions of current and future climate and weather conditions will be a key factor in how they adapt. This paper analyzes data from paired surveys (N = 817) and natural variation from baseline weather across the inland Pacific Northwest (iPNW), to determine if long-term, gradual changes in precipitation, and temperature distributions affect farmers’...AuthorsAlexander Maas, Chloe Wardropper, Gabrielle Roesch-McNally, John AbatzoglouKeywordsSourceClimatic Change. 162(3): 1011-1029.Year2020