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- The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 was used to examine climate, fire, and ecosystems interactions in Alaska under historical (1922-1996) and future (1997-2100) climate conditions. Projections show that by the end of the 21st century, 75%-90% of the area simulated as tundra in 1922 is replaced by boreal and temperate forest. From 1922 to 1996, simulation results show a loss of about 9 g C-m-2-year-1 from fire emissions and 360 000 ha burned each year. During the same period 61% of the C gained (1.7 Pg C) is lost to fires (1 Pg C). Under future climate change scenarios, fire emissions...AuthorsD. Bachelet, J. Lenihan, R. Neilson, R. Drapek, T. KittelSourceCanadian Journal of Forest Research. 35: 2244-2257Year2005
- Extreme fire seasons in recent years and associated high suppression expenditures have brought about a chorus of calls for reform of federal firefighting structure and policy. Given the political nature of the topic, a critical review of past trends in area burned, size of fires, and suppression expenditures is warranted. We examined data relating to emergency wildland fire suppression expenditures, number of fires, and acres burned and developed statistical models to estimate area burned using drought indices for the USDA Forest Service from 1970-2002.AuthorsDavid E. Calkin, Krista Gebert, J. Greg Jones, Ronald P. NeilsonKeywordsSourceJournal of Forestry. 103(4): 179-183Year2005
- Just as wildland fire managers must have a working knowledge of fire behavior, they must also understand the social dimensions of wildland fire in order to effectively engage the public.Social scientists are therefore gathering information about public attitudes toward wildland fire and wildfire mitigation. How do people see the "wildfire problem"? What social values are threatened? What role do community dynamics play? How can citizens be engaged in mitigating the threat? And what is the institutional context of wildland fire management?AuthorsAntony S. Cheng, Dennis R. BeckerSourceFire Management Today. 65(3): 12-15Year2005
- We investigated spatial configuration of economic returns, to enhance models of forest fragmentation for western Oregon and western Washington. Drawing from spatial land rent theory, economic drivers of forest fragmentation at the landscape level include land quality comprised of attributes such as soil fertility or the distance of urban plots to amenities. We included the spatial configuration of land quality as independent variables in regressions for western Oregon. Results indicate that land quality fragmentation is a significant determinant of forest fragmentation. This holds both for...AuthorsRalph Alig, David J. Lewis, Jennifer J. SwensonKeywordsSourceForest Ecology and Management 217: 266-274Year2005
- Land-use conversion is a primary determinant of environmental change in terrestrial ecosystems. Projections are for more than 50 million acres of U.S. forest to be converted to developed uses (e.g., parking lots) over the next 50 years (Alig et al. 2004, Alig and Plantinga 2004), as the population grows by more than 120 million people. Land use change can lead to forest fragmentation-the transfornation of a contiguous patch of forest into disjunct patches. Forest fragmentation is considered to be a primary threat to terrestrial biodiversity.AuthorsRalph Alig, David J. Lewis, Jennifer J. SwensonSourceProceedings of the Conference on Emerging Issues Along Urban/Rural Interfaces: Linking Science and Society, March 13-16, 6 pYear2005
- The use of cumulative watershed effects models is mandated as part of interagency consultation over projects that might affect habitat for salmonids federally listed as threatened or endangered. Cumulative effects analysis is also required by a number of national forest plans in the Pacific Northwest Region (Region 6). Cumulative watershed effects in many cases are measured with the equivalent clearcut area (ECA) model, which generates an index of cumulative disturbance by considering disturbance type, extent, and recovery over time. Although the model has many limitations, it provides an...AuthorsAlan A. Ager, Caty CliftonSourceGen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-637. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 11 pYear2005
- This study provides an overview of nontimber forest products (NTFP) programs on national forests in the United States. We conducted an email survey in 2003 to obtain data on NTFP management activities on national forests across the country. Program characteristics examined in the study included important NTFPs managed on national forests, presence of NTFP coordinators and law enforcement programs on ranger districts, incorporation of NTFPs into forest planning documents, presence of NTFP inventory and monitoring programs, managers’ views on barriers to and opportunities for including NTFP...AuthorsRebecca J. McLain, Eric T. JonesKeywordsSourceGen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-655. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 85 pYear2005
- To update and expand a study done in 1989 (Kennedy et al. 1992), we surveyed line officers attending the third National Forest Supervisors’ Conference (Chief, Associate Chief, deputy chiefs, regional foresters, directors of International Institute of Tropical Forestry and State and Private Forestry Northeastern Area, and forest supervisors; January 2004) and a 40-percent sample of district rangers about USDA Forest Service (FS) values and the agency reward system. These line officers believed in 2004, as did their line colleagues in 1989, that the public in the United States values...AuthorsJames J. Kennedy, Richard Haynes, Xiaoping ZhouKeywordsSourceGen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-632. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 72 pYear2005
- The Pacific Northwest forest resource is highly dynamic. Expected changes over the next 50 years will greatly challenge some current perceptions of resource managers and various stakeholders. This report describes the current and expected future timberland conditions of western Oregon and Washington and presents the results at the county level. About 50 percent of the timber removals in this region will come from 10 west-side counties, and Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco) will remain the major species removed. Forest industry will account for 50 percent of the total...AuthorsXiaoping Zhou, Richard Haynes, R. James BarbourKeywordsSourceGen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-633. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 30 pYear2005
- Because there is a lack of innovation research in the forest products industry and innovative activities in the industry are not well documented, this study attempted to fill that void. The objectives of this study were to understand the process and definition of innovation in the forest products industry, identify the constraints on innovative activities, identify resources that would improve innovation in forest products companies, compare the innovation environments in Alaska and Oregon, and provide a benchmark study for innovation in the forest products industry. This study revealed...AuthorsAbra Hovgaard, Eric Hansen, Joseph RoosKeywordsSourceGen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-629. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 53 pYear2005